Technical Update - Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla. How will they be performing towards Christmas?

Technical Update - Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla. How will they be performing towards Christmas?

Equities 5 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

Alphabet A (GOOGL) jumped yesterday to close back above the Cloud (shaded area) resuming the bullish scenario.
RSI bounced off the 40 threshold i.e., still showing positive sentiment indicating likely higher share price levels.

A close above 139.42 and an RSI close above 60 will further be confirming the bullish picture with potential to all-time high around 151.55

A close below 127.90 will reverse the bullish trend likely sending the share price down to around 120
Source all charts and data: Saxo Group

Amazon AMZN uptrend seems to be stalling somewhat. The Doji Evening star like pattern (circled) is indicating a top a reversal. However, it is not the most perfect textbook pattern which is a weakness suggesting it can be cancelled. A close above 149.26 will  cancel it with Amazon resuming uptrend.

And uptrend with potential to resistance around 167

A close below 142.80 is likely to fuel a sell-off down to strong support around 135.29

Divergence on the RSI is indicating exhaustion of the uptrend but a higher Amazon close and an RSI close above its falling trendline is likely to cancel the divergence pointing to higher levels

Apple AAPL is in an uptrend but with RSI divergence indicating an exhaustion od the trend. However, currently the RSI is testing its falling trendline and if RSI is closing above the falling trendline previous all-time high at around 198.23 is likely to be broken.

A close above 198.25 could give potential to 210 level.

However, if RSI is failing in closing above the dashed horizontal line the divergence persists limiting the Apple uptrend. A close below 187.45 is likely to fuel a sell-off down to test strong support at around 182

Meta (facebook) has bounced off the 55 DMA and the RSI is bouncing from the 40 threshold indicating Meta is to resume uptrend. RSI is not showing divergence suggesting Meta is to trade higher above 343.
If that scenario plays out there is potential to 361-372.

A close below 31360 will demolish the bullish picture and could initiate a sell-off down to 274

Microsoft MSFT is in a bit of a limbo at the moment. The All-time high recorded last week came under RSI divergence indicating an trend exhaustion.

However, RSI is still showing positive sentiment and if Microsoft can close above 374.50 and RSI can is closing back above 60 threshold the uptrend is likely to resume with a test of the all-time high to follow.
However, if that scenario plays out Microsoft would have potential to around 392-400

A close below 362.90 a sell-off down to around 340.50 could be seen. The rising 55 DMA will give some support however, possibly limiting a bearish move
Nvidia NVDA is holding on above the 55 and the 100 DMA and above the Cloud (shaded area).
RSI sentiment is still positive despite indicating divergence on  the peaks but if NVDA can break above 474 a re-test of the previous peak level just above 500 is likely to be tested and taken out. If that scenario plays out there is short-term potential up to 550-560

A close below 450 is likely toe extend the current downwards move/correction to the strong support around 400

Tesla is struggling to gain upside momentum after closing above 242.64 thus closing the gap area.
Rejected at the falling trendline Tesla shares are trading around the declining 100 DMA.

When Tesla did close above 242.64 last week RSI also closed above 60 threshold meaning it is showing positive sentiment but Tesla share price has not yet been benefitting from it.

For Tesla to gain upside momentum a close above the upper falling trendline Is needed. IF that scenario plays out there is short-term potential to 275-280.

A close below 225 is likely to confirm a downtrend with potential 195 177 levels

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperfo...
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynami...
  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the "two-lane economy," European equities, energy commodities, and the impact of US fiscal p...
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Quarterly Outlook

    Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain ...
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities i...
Disclaimer

Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Limited prepares and distributes information/research produced within the Saxo Bank Group for informational purposes only. In addition to the disclaimer below, if any general advice is provided, such advice does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider the appropriateness of trading any financial instrument as trading can result in losses that exceed your initial investment. Please refer to our Analysis Disclaimer, and our Financial Services Guide and Product Disclosure Statement. All legal documentation and disclaimers can be found at https://www.home.saxo/en-au/legal/.

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service. Access and use of Saxo News & Research and any Saxo Bank Group website are subject to (i) the Terms of Use; (ii) the full Disclaimer; and (iii) the Risk Warning in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group.

Saxo News & Research is provided for informational purposes, does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. No Saxo Bank Group entity shall be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information on Saxo News & Research.

To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, such content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication.

None of the information contained here constitutes an offer to purchase or sell a financial instrument, or to make any investments.Saxo Capital Markets does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information nor for any loss arising from any investment made in reliance of this presentation. Any opinions made are subject to change and may be personal to the author. These may not necessarily reflect the opinion of Saxo Capital Markets or its affiliates.

Please read our disclaimers:
- Full Disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-au/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)
- Analysis Disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-au/legal/analysis-disclaimer/saxo-analysis-disclaimer)
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)

Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Limited
Suite 1, Level 14, 9 Castlereagh St
Sydney NSW 2000
Australia

Contact Saxo

Select region

Australia
Australia

The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit www.home.saxo/en-au/about-us/awards

Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Limited ABN 32 110 128 286 AFSL 280372 (‘Saxo’ or ‘Saxo Capital Markets’) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Saxo Bank A/S, headquartered in Denmark. Please refer to our General Business Terms, Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement and Target Market Determination to consider whether acquiring or continuing to hold financial products is suitable for you, prior to opening an account and investing in a financial product.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Saxo Capital Markets does not provide ‘personal’ financial product advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo Capital Markets does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation. The Target Market Determination should assist you in determining whether any of the products or services we offer are likely to be consistent with your objectives, financial situation and needs.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. AppStore is a service mark of Apple Inc.

The information or the products and services referred to on this website may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and Services offered on this website is not intended for residents of the United States and Japan.

Please click here to view our full disclaimer.