Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy
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Investing with options: Amazon earnings
Koen Hoorelbeke
Investment and Options Strategist
Summary: As Amazon prepares to announce its latest quarterly earnings, we explore four different options strategies to suit varied market outlooks. Whether it's buying a call option for bullish leverage, selling a put to potentially acquire shares at a discount, or writing a covered call for added income, options present numerous strategic avenues.
Investing with options - Amazon earnings
Amazon, the Seattle-based technology giant, is set to release its quarterly earnings report on October 26, 2023. The company has been impressing with strong financial performance, particularly in its cloud computing division, Amazon Web Services (AWS), and its e-commerce sales. Investors are keen to dissect these sectors as we approach the earnings release. In this article, we'll explore various options strategies tailored for this earnings season and beyond.
Strategies
1. Bullish outlook - buying call options:
- Execution: BuyToOpen 1 20-Sep-2024 105 Call @ $33.65 (Delta: 0.80)
- Premium and risk:
- Premium cost: $33.65 x 100 (per contract) = $3,365
- Max risk: $3,365 (if Amazon remains below 105 at expiry)
- Max reward: Significant (increases as Amazon's stock price rises)
- Breakeven point: $105 (strike) + $33.65 (premium) = $138.65
- Rationale: A longer expiration reduces the effects of time decay.
2. Bullish outlook - selling ITM put options:
Selling in-the-money (ITM) put options can be another method to acquire Amazon shares at a discount.
- Execution: SellToOpen 1 27-Oct-2023 130 Put @ $6.10 (Delta: -0.5812)
- Premium and risk:
- Premium earned: $6.10 x 100 (per contract) = $610
- Max risk: Significant (if Amazon stock falls significantly)
- Breakeven point: $130 (strike) - $6.10 (premium) = $123.90
- Rationale: A shorter expiration allows quicker premium capture but comes with the risk of acquiring the stock if it drops below the strike price.
3. Bearish outlook - buying put options:
If you believe Amazon's stock is set for a decline, a long put option can be suitable.
- Execution: BuyToOpen 1 20-Sep-2024 145 Put @ $24.65 (Delta: -0.5830)
- Premium and risk:
- Premium cost: $24.65 x 100 (per contract) = $2,465
- Max risk: $2,465 (if Amazon remains above 145 at expiry)
- Breakeven point: $145 (strike) - $24.65 (premium) = $120.35
- Rationale: A longer expiration again helps mitigate time decay effects.
4. Neutral/bullish outlook - writing covered calls:
If you already own Amazon shares, covered calls can generate additional income.
- Execution: SellToOpen 1 03-Nov-2023 138 Call @ $1.13 (Delta: 0.2053)
- Premium and risk:
- Premium earned: $1.13 x 100 (per contract) = $113
- Max risk: Limited to stock ownership
- Yield for covered call:
- 11-day yield: 0.89% ($113 / ($126.56 * 100)
- Annualized yield: 29.42% (0.89% / 11 * 365)
- Rationale: Writing covered calls can generate income but caps upside potential. This strategy is suitable if you expect the stock to move sideways or slightly up in the short term.
Conclusion
Options offer a variety of strategies to explore as we approach Amazon's upcoming earnings. Whether your outlook is bullish, bearish, or somewhere in between, options provide a flexible toolkit to navigate different market conditions.
- Buying calls: Call options offer a leveraged way to gain exposure to potential upside with a set maximum loss.
- Selling ITM puts: This strategy can effectively lower your acquisition cost if you’re bullish on the stock.
- Buying puts: For those expecting downside movement, puts offer a way to benefit while limiting risk.
- Writing covered calls: This provides an opportunity for additional income, although it caps your upside.
Options trading offers avenues for different investment goals, especially as we look toward Amazon's earnings.
Options are complex, high-risk products and require knowledge, investment experience and, in many applications, high risk acceptance. We recommend that before you invest in options, you inform yourself well about the operation and risks. In Saxo Bank's Terms of Use you will find more information on this in the Important Information Options, Futures, Margin and Deficit Procedure. You can also consult the Essential Information Document of the option you want to invest in on Saxo Bank's website.
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