Crypto update

Crypto Weekly: All about regulation

Mads Eberhardt 400x400
Mads Eberhardt

Cryptocurrency Analyst

Summary:  It is often said that regulation is the greatest threat to the cryptocurrency industry. Today, we managed to write a Crypto Weekly only containing topics related to regulation, if from different angles. We look at a Chinese crackdown on mining, Binance going head-to-head with regulators and Paraguay set to introduce positive Bitcoin legislation.


Bitcoin mining difficulty drops, making mining more profitable

The last couple of months have been rather chaotic in terms of Bitcoin mining. First, China started cracking down on Bitcoin mining. Before the crackdown, it was estimated that the country counted for between 65% to 75% of the total Bitcoin mining capacity, also known as hash rate. The crackdown from Chinese regulators allegedly forced more than 90% of the Chinese miners offline. Afterward, pictures of mining equipment being shipped abroad from China started circulating on the internet. However, the mining equipment was not up and running on new territory on July 3rd, where the Bitcoin algorithm adjusted its mining network difficulty based on the current hash rate. The network difficulty signals how difficult it is to mine Bitcoins. The lower hash rate resulted in a 28% drop in network difficulty, making it more profitable for existing miners to mine Bitcoins. Industry experts have calculated that it is roughly twice as profitable to mine Bitcoins now compared to before the Chinese crackdown. However, in all likelihood, it is only a matter of time before the profitability will fall again as more miners turn their equipment on to take advantage of the current higher profitability. Either the Chinese miners will be moving abroad or selling their equipment to existing miners abroad. According to Luxor Mining, buying used mining equipment is between 32% - 36% cheaper compared to a couple of months ago, which should stimulate interest in mining.

Binance goes head-to-head with regulators and traditional banks

The world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange measured on volume, Binance, is currently fighting some battles globally with respective regulators and traditional banks. Last week the exchange suspended euro bank transfers allegedly because of regulatory issues as U.K.’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) announced last month that Binance is not permitted to undertake regulated activities in the U.K.  The announcement made several British banks suspend bank transfers to the exchange, including Barclays and Santander’s U.K. bank division. On top of this, regulators in Canada, Japan, and Thailand have issued warnings to the exchange. Germany’s financial regulator BaFin has also warned Binance over its trading of tokenized stocks. It has always been tough to figure out the exact country Binance is operating from – and thereby, its regulatory framework. Binance has often declined to comment on this question, arguing that they are a decentralized organization. Even though decentralization is often associated positively with the industry, it may not be something you should try to sell to regulators while operating in a highly regulated industry as the largest company. Binance’s CEO Changpeng Zhao commented on the issues last week adding; “We hope to clarify and reiterate our commitment to partner with regulators, and that we are proactively hiring more talent, putting in place more systems and processes to protect our users”. Today, Zhao famously known for wearing t-shirts and hoodies, posted a picture of himself on Twitter wearing a suit with the text: “Do I look more regulated already?”. The sarcastic tweet is likely something that pleases the community – but perhaps not regulators.

Paraguay may join El Salvador

The Latin American country El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender in June, equal with the US Dollar as legal tender in the country. It now looks like the decision impacted other countries in Latin America as Paraguay is about to introduce Bitcoin-focused legislation. Paraguayan Congressman Carlitos Rejala tweeted last week that the Bitcoin bill will be announced on July 14th, adding that it will be a great surprise for Paraguay and the world. According to his previous statements, the bill is set to make Paraguay a leading center for the cryptocurrency industry. Whether that includes making Bitcoin legal tender, we will have to wait to see.

12_07_2021_Crypto_Update_01
BTC vs. USD. Source: CoinMarketCap
12_07_2021_Crypto_Update_02
ETH vs. USD. Source: CoinMarketCap

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...

Content disclaimer

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900
Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.