Teknisk Analyse - Tesla og Arm Holdings finder vigtig støtte. Kan de etablere positiv trend?

Teknisk Analyse - Tesla og Arm Holdings finder vigtig støtte. Kan de etablere positiv trend?

Equities 2 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

  • Tesla er har igen fundet støtte omkring kurs 160,51.
    Indikatorer peger på at Tesla kan bevæge sig lidt højere på kort sigt. Måske endda op til modstandsområdet 183-188. KAn den kravle højere? 

  • Arm Holdings holder stadig sig stadig lige over vigtigt støtteområde. Vil aktien genoptage den positive trend og stige mod tidligere højder?


Tesla 
har igen fundet støtte omkring det kritiske støtteniveau på 160,51, inden for få cents at støtten fra 2. kvartal 2023 på 160,56 – se ugegrafen

Styrkeindikatoren RSI udviser i pt. divergens, som er et signal om ubalance i markedet og trendudmattelse (RSI værdierne er stigende mens Tesla aktien har været faldende), hvilket kan være tegn på en den nedadgående trend er ved at være ovre på kort sigt og en trendvending kan være under udvikling.

RSI på den daglige graf er tæt på den øvre faldende trendlinje og hvis den lukker over vil det være en indikation på at Tesla kan sige yderligere op til 183.05-188.14 – GAP -området som indikeret på grafen.

Dette potentielle opsving understøttes yderligere af RSI-divergens på det ugentlige diagram. RSI-divergens i en nedadgående trend er et tegn på trendudmattelse

For at Tesla kan bekræfte en kortsigtet positiv trend, skal aktiekursen lukke over den øvre grænse af ”GAP’et” på 188,14. Opnåelse af dette ville sætte scenen for aktien til at gå efter også at lukke januar-GAP’et, der strækker sig op til kurs 207,83.

Omvendt, hvis Tesla ikke kan lukke en handelsdag over 188,14, kan den nuværende nedtrend fortsætte. Hvis Tesla lukker under kurs 160,51 kan det føre til en gentest af Q2 2023  lavpunktet 152,37.

Et fald under dette niveau kan udløse et betydeligt udsalg i aktien, hvilket potentielt kan drive aktien ned til de laveste niveauer i 1. kvartal 2023 omkring 110

tsla d 0904
Kilde alle grafer og data: Saxo Group
tsla w 0904

Arm Holdings holder sig stadig over øvre grænse af et ”GAP” området på 120,16, hvilket signalerer en potentiel fortsættelse af dens positive trend.

Styrkeindikatoren RSI afspejler positiv sentiment men for at den positive trend skal genvinde momentum er en lukkekurs på RSI over 60 nødvendigt.

Hvis Arm kan løftes til at lukke over kurs 145, kan det sætte scenen for et rally mod tidligere ”all-time highs”

Omvendt, hvis aktien lukker under 115,21, vil det betyde lukningen af det nuværende GAP, hvilket potentielt kan føre til øget salgspres. En sådan bevægelse kunne skubbe aktien mod den nedre grænse af det næste GAP område, omkring kurs94.

Konklusionen er at GAP området 120,16-115,21 er vigtigt for positive/negative trend

arm d 0904

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