Technical Update - EuroStoxx50 and DAX reversal patterns signal trouble ahead: Key levels to watch

Technical Update - EuroStoxx50 and DAX reversal patterns signal trouble ahead: Key levels to watch

Equities 2 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

Summary:  GER40 and EU50 CFD's included in the analysis


EuroStoxx50 formed a bearish engulfing top and reversal candle yesterday, erasing the previous three days of gains.

Despite RSI not indicating uptrend exhaustion—there is no divergence on the values—the top and reversal pattern is fairly strong.

To invalidate this pattern and for EuroStoxx50 to resume and extend its bullish move, a daily close above yesterday’s peak at 4,987 is required.

EuroStoxx50 is now trading below support at around 4,907 and is likely to test key strong support at around 4,812 shortly.
The 200 daily Moving Average, currently around that level, will add to the support strength.

A daily close below 4,800 could lead to further selling, with no strong support until around 4,703.
stoxx50 d 0409
Source all charts: Saxo Group
EU50 CFD Levels:
Support at around 4,810, with potential to dip to the 0.382 retracement at 4,789.
Additional support at around 4,742.

To resume the bullish trend, a daily close above 4,987 is required.
eu50 d 0409
The DAX Index formed yesterday a bearish engulfing top and reversal pattern, erasing the previous four days of gains to close yesterday on the support at around 18,748.

However, the Index gapped lower at the opening and could see further selling in the coming days and weeks towards the strong support around 18,236–18,183 and 17,884.

Despite RSI still showing positive sentiment and no sign of divergence, the Index is likely to have topped out. For the DAX to resume and extend the bullish move, a daily close above 18,991 is required. The first indication of that scenario playing out would be if the DAX can close back above 18,748.
dax d 0409

GER40 CFD Levels:
Support at around 18,210 and 17,948.
A daily close above 18,991 will see the bullish trend resume.

ger40 d 0409
Follow me for more on SaxoTrader platforms, home.saxo, my YouTube channel Cramer's Corner YouTube where you can subscribe and get a message when new updates, and X (Twitter): Cramers_Corner

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

Content disclaimer

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900
Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.