Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
You can access both of our platforms from a single Saxo account.
Technical Update - S&P 500 & Nasdaq unfolding corrective behaviour
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
Summary: S&P 500 / US500 cfd and Nasdaq100/USNAS100 cfd are unfolding the correction behaviour following closing below supports
Top and reversal patterns confirmed by Indicators. Further downside should be expected in coming weeks
S&P 500 the Bearish Engulfing top and reversal candle from 27th of July and the RSI and MACD divergence are still in play with the correction currently unfolding after the Index closed below 4,527.
Tuesday the Index bounced off the lower rising trendline and buyers might try to lift the S&P500 back above 4,527.
However, even if they succeed the correction is still in play unless the Index is closing above 4,607
A close below the lower rising trendline is likely to also break below the support at around 4,455, which is likely to lead to a sell-off down to around strong support at around 4,340
US500 cfd correction unfolding with a bearish break of the rising wedge pattern. Dipping down to support at around 4,458 a minor bounce is expected before selling pressure is likely to resturn. A break below 4,458 is likely to lead to a sell off down to support at 4,384
Nasdaq 100 has broken below support at around 15,420 confirming short-term down trend. Next support at around 14,750.
A close above 15,932 will extend the uptrend, likely breaking above 16K
USNAS100 cfd Evening Doji top and reversal pattern unfolding with a confirmed short-term downtrend. To cancel the downtrend a close above 15,811 is needed. USNAS100 is hovering around the 15,38 support but a renewed sell-off is likely to push USNAS100 down below 15K.
Support at around 14,706
Support at around 14,706
RSI divergence is an imbalance in the market that cannot go on forever and will eventually need to be traded out usually by a correction where RSI is closing below 40 threshold (above 60 if the divergence is bullish), but also sometimes by an even higher (lower) indicator level above previous peak
Author is holding a short position in USNAS cfd
Latest Market Insights
Quarterly Outlook
-
-
Quarterly Outlook
Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
-
Quarterly Outlook
China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
-
Quarterly Outlook
Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification
Ole Hansen
Head of Commodity Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto... -
Quarterly Outlook
Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright
Ole Hansen
Head of Commodity Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c... -
Quarterly Outlook
FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...