Quarterly Outlook
Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
Senior Relationship Manager
Summary: Key Week Coming up
Good Morning,
Equities ended the week even higher with the Dow up 0.08%, the S&P 0.25%, the Nasdaq 0.95%. Looking at some Year to Date figures ahead of this crucial week for markets, the Nasdaq 100 is up 11%, the Ger40 9.5%, the S&P and the Switzerland 20 have risen app 6%. Tesla gained 44% and Nvidia 39%, Amazon 22% and Apple 13%. These numbers are Year to Date not 365 days.
FX was less risk on and the USD was relatively strong . The USD Index closed at near 102 and EURUSD 1.0867 and GBPUSD near 1.24.
We are entering a key week with :
From the meeting with Steen last week, pls find his outlook here: Steen`s Outlook for Markets
Economic Data & Earnings
Monday
Sweden and Germany GDP
EU Consumer Confidence,
Earnings: SoFi, Philips, Franklin Templeton, GE Healthcare, Ryanair, Whirlpool, NXP,
Tuesday
Japan Unemployment Rate, Australia Retail sales and China Manufacturing PMI
France, Italy as well as EU GDP, German CPI, US consumer confidence.
Earnings: Exxon, UPS, GM, Pfizer, Caterpillar, McDonalds, Spotify, AMD, Snap, Amgen, EA,
Wednesday
International PMI thorough the day, EU HICP
FOMC Rate decision
Earnings: Altria, T-Mobile, Peleton, ThermoFischer, Meta,
Thursday
Band Of England, ECB Rate decision
Earnings: Merck, Lilly, Honeywell, Sony, Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Ford, Qualcomm, Starbucks, Gilead,
Friday
International PMI, Nonfarm Payroll
Earnings: Cigna, CBoe, Sanofi
Expiries
Physically Settled Futures
GCG3 will expire 30 Jan 2023
MGCG3 will expire 30 Jan 2023
Expiring CFDs
GASOLINEUSFEB23 will expire 27 Jan 2023
GOLDFEB23 will expire 27 Jan 2023
HEATINGOILFEB23 will expire 27 Jan 2023
CHINA50JAN23 will expire 30 Jan 2023
HK50JAN23 will expire 30 Jan 2023
TAIWAN95JAN23 will expire 30 Jan 2023