Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy
Market Specialist
Summary: Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) surpassed $2 trillion market capitalization for the first time on Friday, 26th April following the release of Q1 earnings that beat expectations. The shares rose 10% to $171.95, marking the biggest single-day jump since 2015. This surge added nearly $200 billion to the company’s market capitalization, positioning Alphabet to become the fourth U.S company to reach that milestone, alongside Apple, Nvidia, and Microsoft.
What is happening?
Alphabet beat expectations for its first quarter earnings, driven by strong revenue from Google search, advertising as well as its cloud computing business. Google’s parent company reported earnings of $1.89 per share on revenue of $80.5 billion, surpassing Wall Street’s estimates of $1.51 per share on revenue of $78.7 billion. Google Cloud revenue increased 28% year-over-year and came in at $9.6 billion, boosted by generative AI tools that rely on cloud services. Alphabet also announced its first-ever dividend of 20 cents per share and a $70 billion shares buyback. The CEO, Sundar Pichai said "Our leadership in AI research and infrastructure, and our global product footprint, position us well for the next wave of AI innovation."
The outlook for Alphabet is positive as its core revenue generators, online search, and advertising are performing better than expectations despite challenges posed by AI and increased competition from tech giants like Microsoft and Meta. Additionally, investment in generative AI appears to be yielding results, with strong demand and growth in their cloud computing services. Google has also initiated rounds of layoffs as part of its effort to allocate resources for AI investment. Analysts have generally responded positively to Alphabet’s Q1 results, with many revising their ratings and price targets for the stock.
What can you do?
For investors holding Alphabet for long-term investment and believe in the company’s core revenue drivers as well as upside potential from its AI investments in the long term but are worried about the overvaluations of US mega-caps in the short term, may consider selling covered call options on partial holdings of Alphabet. This strategy enables investors to earn premiums from the call options, providing additional income while they wait for Alphabet’s share price to reach their desired price target.
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When comparing to options with longer maturity, you can observe how this alters the premium you receive and the distance over which you will be able to set the strike.
Annualised yield of Alphabet options with different Strike and Expiry
Advantages of covered calls
Risks of trading covered calls
Options are complex, high-risk products and require knowledge, investment experience and, in many applications, high risk acceptance. We recommend that before you invest in options, you inform yourself well about the operation and risks. In Saxo Capital Markets' Terms of Use, you will find more information on this in the Important Information - Options, Futures, Margin and Deficit Procedure. You can also consult the Essential Information Document of the option you want to invest in on Saxo Capital Markets' website.
This article may or may not have been enriched with the support of advanced AI technology, including OpenAI's ChatGPT and/or other similar platforms. The initial setup, research and final proofing are done by the author.