Crypto Update: ETH mining at the edge

Crypto Update: ETH mining at the edge

Cryptocurrencies 7 minutes to read
Jacob Pouncey

Cryptocurrency analyst, Saxo Bank Group

Summary:  ETH mining profitability heads to zero; central banks discuss digital currencies; Bitcoin Cash is facing a hard fork.


This week the entire crypto market cap fell by 6 % to around $200 billion. Additionally, Ethereum fell 8% after briefly touching $220. Bitcoin fell less than the market with a decline of 4 %.

No profits in mining ETH

According to a recent Susquehanna research report, the profitability of Ethereum mining using graphics cards produced by chipmakers such as AMD and Nvidia has reached null. Profitability has been on the decline since the beginning of this year. Also, the network hash rate has been decreasing since August of this year, demonstrating that more miners are leaving the network than joining. Profitability combined with the decline in hash rate could indicate the approach of capitulation for the Ethereum market. Additionally, the decline in profitability could mean that the downtrend in revenue from selling graphics cards to cryptocurrency miners is approaching a bottom for chip manufacturers going forward.

Central banks mull issuing digital currencies

Central banks are increasingly exploring the implications of issuing a central bank digital currency, or CBDC, that would have certain characteristics of cryptocurrencies combined with the centrally-planned characteristics of fiat money. The Swedish Riksbank released a report detailing the implications of creating an e-krona, considering the total cash in circulation is dropping below 1% of GDP. Additionally, the Bank of Korea and the Bank of Israel have released reports, with the former more open to issuing a CDBC than the latter. Despite the range of opinions from central banks, one thing that all of them agree on is that a CBDC will have far-reaching implications for the banking sector that no one fully understands yet. 

Bitcoin cash fork

There is an upcoming hard fork or network split on the Bitcoin Cash blockchain, which itself is a hard fork of the main Bitcoin blockchain. This split is particularly interesting because on one side there are nodes, which are computers that run the software, making it more robust against outages. On the other side there are miners, who make the network more secure against attacks.

Once the network splits, the market will have the first real-world test on whether it is nodes or miners that give the most value to a network. Currently in pre-market trading, investors are valuing the network split with the most nodes (users) at a 30% premium. All eyes are watching as the fork is scheduled to take place tomorrow, November 15. 
XBTUSD
Source: Coinmarketcap.com

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Capital Markets UK Ltd. (Saxo) and the Saxo Bank Group provides execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation. Access and use of this website is subject to: (i) the Terms of Use; (ii) the full Disclaimer; (iii) the Risk Warning; and (iv) any other notice or terms applying to Saxo’s news and research.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer for more details.

Saxo
40 Bank Street, 26th floor
E14 5DA
London
United Kingdom

Contact Saxo

Select region

United Kingdom
United Kingdom

Trade Responsibly
All trading carries risk. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more
Additional Key Information Documents are available in our trading platform.

Saxo is a registered Trading Name of Saxo Capital Markets UK Ltd (‘Saxo’). Saxo is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, Firm Reference Number 551422. Registered address: 26th Floor, 40 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London E14 5DA. Company number 7413871. Registered in England & Wales.

This website, including the information and materials contained in it, are not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in the United States, Belgium or any other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation.

It is important that you understand that with investments, your capital is at risk. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. It is your responsibility to ensure that you make an informed decision about whether or not to invest with us. If you are still unsure if investing is right for you, please seek independent advice. Saxo assumes no liability for any loss sustained from trading in accordance with a recommendation.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Android is a trademark of Google Inc.

©   since 1992