Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy
Summary: Tesla has bought Bitcoins for $1.5 billion. At around the same time, CME Group went live with their long-anticipated Ethereum futures - and Visa is planning to launch a crypto-product for banks later this year.
Tesla buys Bitcoins for $1.5 billion
A major announcement in the crypto space this week was when Tesla announced that they have bought Bitcoins for a total of $1.5 billion and furthermore plans to accept Bitcoins as payment for their products. Read our detailed analysis of this here.
Ethereum futures are live on CME Group
Along with Bitcoin, Ethereum traded at a new all-time-high of $1,820 today. The surge was partially driven by the Tesla news. However, the newly launched CME Ethereum futures arguably also contributed positively to the surge. The futures went live on Sunday after being announced by CME Group in December. It is the first regulated ETH future worldwide – and the second cryptocurrency future on the CME-platform next after Bitcoin, which was launched in December 2017. CME became the biggest Bitcoin future exchange in January this year, and with the launch of the ETH futures they will like become big in the ETH future space.
The launch of the futures was contributing to bringing the average fee on the network for processing one transaction to new all-time-high. The average fee hit $20 for the first time last week, making Ethereum only suitable for large transactions, leaving many minor users in the cold. Some Chinese Ethereum miners have figured out to mine and thereby process transactions on the network by using Nvidia's new laptop, thereby keeping the network more decentralized – but not precisely helping on the scalability headache as the network already hit its current transaction maximum. ETH 2.0 seems like the only plausible solution.
Visa is getting into the space
For years back, Visa did not have a focus on cryptocurrencies, but a lot has changed lately. Visa sealed a deal with one of the issuers of the second-biggest stablecoin, USDC (called Circle) in December to enable USDC transfers worldwide on Visa’s network. Last week Visa took it a step further and announced their plans to roll out a service for banks providing easy access to trading cryptocurrencies. The product launch is set for some time this year. It will most likely contribute to more banks launching cryptocurrency trading as the product from Visa removes significant entry barriers for the banks if they want to facilitate crypto trading to their clients. The plan is also to enable clients to spend their cryptocurrency holdings at the over 70 million Visa merchants globally. In the case a user spends crypto at a merchant, the cryptocurrency will be converted into the respective fiat currency right away to pay the merchant.
Disclaimer
The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.
Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-gb/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)