Crypto Weekly: Significant public listing and trading desk coming up

Crypto Weekly: Significant public listing and trading desk coming up

Summary:  Coinbase files for a direct public listing on Nasdaq showing its finances for the public for the first time. Goldman Sachs launches its cryptocurrency trading desk focusing on trading Bitcoin futures while its custody-solution for crypto-assets is set to launch later on.


Coinbase files for a direct public listing

At the end of 2020, it became public that the biggest US-based cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase intends to go public. Last week, the public was invited to the process as Coinbase filed its S-1 filing to the SEC before going public. The filing consists of critical elements about its business together with key figures, which the public eye has never had direct access to. To sum up, Coinbase more than doubled its revenue last year from the previous year to $1.2bn as the crypto market surged. From its revenue, the exchange managed to turn a profit of $322mn. It was the first time the exchange generated a profit over an entire fiscal year. Additionally, the filing confirms that Coinbase had 43mn verified users by the end of 2020. More interesting for the market, is the development in its trading volume from respective client segments. From being founded in 2012 as solely retail-focused, Coinbase has developed into being the gateway to the crypto-market for institutional investors. In Q4 2020, around 64% of its $89 billion trading volume came from institutional clients. On top of that, Coinbase is generating revenue from its institutional clients when storing their assets in its custody solution. Crypto assets stored at Coinbase totals around 11% of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization - up from 4.5% just two years ago. The company is storing crypto-assets worth $90bn. The public listing on Nasdaq marks a significant milestone for the crypto market. Without a doubt, Coinbase is the most noteworthy company in the industry next to Binance as they have an immense influence on the industry. Letting clients and the public be an active part of that, should not be underestimated. Furthermore, with an expected valuation of up to $100bn, it also marks one of the biggest public listings this year. On the other hand, the filing last week also signals the weaknesses to Coinbase’s business as they are hugely dependent on trading volume to financially perform well. If the trading volume declines with a fair margin, then Coinbase loses a significant part of its revenue. Coinbase has started to focus more on services generating stable revenue like its custody solution and staking, e.g., Ethereum staking which was launched two weeks ago. Here, Coinbase takes a percentage fee of the total amount stored or generated in staking rewards. However, these incomes are based on cryptocurrency prices, making them vulnerable to bear markets. As a result, the public listing from Coinbase comes with significant risk - just like anything else in the industry. The listing is expected to take place within the next couple of months.

Goldman Sachs launches its cryptocurrency trading desk

One of the world’s largest investment banks, Goldman Sachs, is rumored to be launching its cryptocurrency trading desk in mid-March. The trading desk will mainly deal with Bitcoin futures trading, possibly the CME Group Bitcoin future. The plan to launch a cryptocurrency trading desk goes well with the cryptocurrency custody solution Goldman Sachs allegedly has in its product pipeline. Thereby, Goldman Sachs will directly compete with Coinbase in the case they launch their custody-solution. Goldman Sachs was reportedly close to launching its trading desk already in 2018. However, the bank backed down before launching the trading desk as the crypto market crashed that year.

Ethereum can settle $1.6trn this quarter

The biggest cryptocurrency measured on the value settled on its chain, Ethereum, is on track to settle $1.6trn this quarter on its chain, according to on-chain research from Messari. Ethereum is mainly used to settle stablecoins and decentralized finance protocols. Therefore, the number is not only measuring the settlement of its native token called Ether - but all transactions and tokens transferred on the network. As of 24 February, the network had settled $926bn worth of transactions, already 700% more than what it accomplished in the whole of Q1 2020. This surge in transactions has contributed to new all-time high fees on the network. Last week, the average fee per transaction reached a new all-time high of $40. As a direct result of the high fees, many are concerned that Ethereum will lose its first-mover advantage to rival chains in the smart contract crypto-space, something we wrote about last week. Many rival chains are simply more scalable compared to Ethereum for now until at least the highly anticipated ETH 2.0 upgrade launches, which will make Ethereum significantly more scalable.

BTC against USD. Source: CoinMarketCap.
ETH against USD. Source: CoinMarketCap.

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Capital Markets UK Ltd. (Saxo) and the Saxo Bank Group provides execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation. Access and use of this website is subject to: (i) the Terms of Use; (ii) the full Disclaimer; (iii) the Risk Warning; and (iv) any other notice or terms applying to Saxo’s news and research.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer for more details.

Saxo
40 Bank Street, 26th floor
E14 5DA
London
United Kingdom

Contact Saxo

Select region

United Kingdom
United Kingdom

Trade Responsibly
All trading carries risk. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more
Additional Key Information Documents are available in our trading platform.

Saxo is a registered Trading Name of Saxo Capital Markets UK Ltd (‘Saxo’). Saxo is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, Firm Reference Number 551422. Registered address: 26th Floor, 40 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London E14 5DA. Company number 7413871. Registered in England & Wales.

This website, including the information and materials contained in it, are not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in the United States, Belgium or any other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation.

It is important that you understand that with investments, your capital is at risk. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. It is your responsibility to ensure that you make an informed decision about whether or not to invest with us. If you are still unsure if investing is right for you, please seek independent advice. Saxo assumes no liability for any loss sustained from trading in accordance with a recommendation.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Android is a trademark of Google Inc.

©   since 1992