Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Chief Macro Strategist
Saxo
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Today we look at the wild swings in Nvidia shares ahead of that important company's earnings report after the close today, with much at stake as the company has a very high bar to clear in terms of results and guidance, given the share price. We take a look at some of the largest likely buyers of Nvidia and why their capital expenditures have not expanded in line with the expected surge in Nvidia revenues. Elsewhere, we continue to discuss what the Fed will hint at in this Friday's Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Powell. In commodities, we focus on copper and oil. This and more in today's pod, which features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
[2023-08-23 09:00]
Explore the potential market reactions to Nvidia's upcoming earnings release in this guide. From considerations before the release to understanding various market dynamics post-announcement, this article provides a selection of options strategies tailored for different outlooks. Whether bullish, neutral, or bearish, discover defined and undefined risk strategies that might align with your perspective.
[2023-08-23 07:00]
NVIDIA reports 2Q earnings tomorrow morning after US market closes. NVDA seems to carry these type of premiums: AI hype, FOMO, bubble, crowdedness, growth, stocktwits, momentum & line of least resistance.
[2023-08-22 10:00]
Today we look at the strong resurgence in US equities yesterday, particularly in the most popular speculative names like Tesla and Nvidia, which jumped over 8% yesterday, trading close to the cycle highs just ahead of its earnings report after the close tomorrow. The strong resurgence unfolded despite US yields rising sharply, with the 10- and 30-year yields posting new 15-year and 12-year highs, respectively. We look at key upcoming Treasury auctions and what the Fed's Jackson Hole conference on Friday and into the weekend may be set to deliver in terms of policy hints. This and more in today's pod, which features Peter Garnry on equities, Althea Spinozzi on fixed income and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
[2023-08-21 12:00]
Explore the efficiencies of swing trading semi-conductors using options versus stocks, with a detailed comparison using the VanEck Semiconductor ETF in light of NVIDIA's upcoming earnings release.
[2023-08-18 15:10]
S&P 500 futures are breaking below key support levels and Hang Seng futures are making new lows for the year as Evergrande's bankruptcy protection filing in the US has sparked more nervousness over developments in Chinese markets. We highlight all the key events shaping markets heading into the weekend. We also discuss Nvidia's earnings next week which will be a key test for AI stocks and then finally we discuss the sudden collapse in Adyen.
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