Quarterly Outlook
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John J. Hardy
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Technical Update - DAX and EuroStoxx 50 failing in closing above all-time high, but are likely to have another go
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank Group
Summary: DAX/GER40 closed just below all-time high but seems likely to have a nother go in next few days. Uptrend is strong
EuroStoxx50 uptrend is stalling at all-time high. Needs a close above to move higher
DAX closed just below all-time high Friday after spiking above just shortly
The trend is up however, and RSI has cancelled its divergence indicating higher DAX levels are likely
Friday DAX touched the 1.50 Fibonacci projection at 16,330 before receding, but if Buyers can lift the Index to close above the all-time high at 16.290 there is potential to the 1.618 projection at 16.477. However, reaching 17K which is just below the 2.0 projection is not out of the question.
To demolish the bullish picture a close below 16K is needed.
The GER40cfd closed Friday just below the all-time high but is likely to have another go at closing above in the next few days.
EuroStoxx 50 was rejected at the all-time high at around 4,415. A setback down to around 4,340 could be seen before buyers is likely to have another go in closing above all-time high.
RSI sending a bit of a mixed picture; It is still showing divergence indicating weakening trend but the sentiment is positive suggesting higher Index levels.
A close above 4,415 is likely to cancel the RSI divergence sending EuroStoxx 50 towards 4,500
A close below 4,340 I s likely to put the uptrend on hold.
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