Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
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Understanding volatility: a beginner's guide to navigating the market
Volatility in the stock market can feel intimidating, especially for new investors. However, understanding it is a crucial step towards becoming a confident and informed investor.
What is volatility?
Volatility refers to how much and how quickly the price of an asset, such as a stock, fluctuates over time. Think of it as the market's "mood swings." While the global stock market has historically delivered an average annual return of about 8%, these returns come with periods of ups and downs—some dramatic, others mild.
Why does volatility matter?
For investors, volatility represents both risk and opportunity. High volatility means prices can change dramatically in a short period, offering chances for higher returns but also increasing the risk of losses. Low volatility, on the other hand, indicates more stable prices but generally lower potential gains.
How to handle volatility
Navigating volatile markets requires strategy and patience. Here are three key tips:
• Don’t try to time the market
Timing when to buy or sell based on market movements is extremely difficult, even for seasoned professionals. Attempting to do so often leads to missed opportunities.
• Diversify your portfolio
Diversification—spreading your investments across different asset types like stocks, bonds, real estate, and commodities—is one of the best ways to manage risk. Think of it as a balanced diet for your portfolio: it ensures you’re not overly dependent on any single investment.
In this video, you can get tips on how to diversify your portfolio in a simple way
• Stay focused on long-term goals
Short-term market fluctuations can be unsettling, but keeping your eyes on long-term objectives helps you stay grounded during turbulent times. Looking at your portfolio from day to day might give you a false picture of the reality. Zoom out and look at the bigger picture.
Embracing volatility
Volatility is not something to fear—it’s an inherent part of investing. By staying informed, diversifying your portfolio, and maintaining a long-term perspective, you can turn volatility into an opportunity rather than a challenge.
Stay informed, stay diversified, and remember that volatility is just one part of the investment journey. So embrace the ups and downs—they’re all part of the ride towards financial success!
Quarterly Outlook
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Quarterly Outlook
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