Macro Dragon: Talent, Leviathan, Inflation Must Reads & FOMC Mins... Macro Dragon: Talent, Leviathan, Inflation Must Reads & FOMC Mins... Macro Dragon: Talent, Leviathan, Inflation Must Reads & FOMC Mins...

Macro Dragon: Talent, Leviathan, Inflation Must Reads & FOMC Mins...

Macro 2 minutes to read
Kay Van-Petersen

Global Macro Strategist

Summary:  Macro Dragon = Cross-Asset Daily Views that could cover anything from tactical positioning, to long-term thematic investments, key events & inflection points in the markets, all with the objective of consistent wealth creation overtime.


(These are solely the views & opinions of KVP, & do not constitute any trade or investment recommendations. By the time you synthesize this, things may have changed.)

Macro Dragon: Talent, Leviathan, Inflation Must Reads & FOMC Mins...

 

Talent…

  • The Talent divergence: KVP could not sleep last night, until he got a big rant off of his chest. Have you ever felt passed over, or seen/been super deserving of a particular opportunity, seen the most talented & driven individuals somehow keep struggling to get the traction & exposure that they fully deserve?

  • Think we have all been there in one form or another & some of us are there right now. Are you trading at you proper valuation, which is function of not just compensation yet also all the other works (perks & cons) that come with a career, job, calling, your craft, etc.?

  • Would love to get your thoughts & war stories, both positive & negative in the comments on the article – the finance industry, is missing the biggest arbitrage opportunity in its history, just fully taking care of its people & backing them all the way. Instead of the mentality of cost centers, it should be why are we investing in this candidate & how can we get a sustainable long-term value add where everybody thrives.

  • Check it out here: Everyone says they want talent, but do people really appreciate talent?

  • One thing KVP will share that was a huge epiphany at the time (& still continues to ripple out today), in taking his craft to that next level, was along these lines.

  • If you are as good as you think you are, then you will find a way to do it yourself.
  • Or just Be So Good They Can’t Ignore You. Thats pretty much what Bitcoin & Crypto has done, KVP used to get laughed out the room when talking about Bitcoin in 2014 & 2015... "get out of here with that funny money" with folks not realizing Bitcoin is actually hard currency as opposed to fiat currency. 

  • Be +80x in sub 3yrs… This is the way.

Leviathan… Dec 2022

  • Be +80x in sub 3yrs… This is the way.

  • Have had this idea of a Dragon piece that KVP will try to put out tmr before going NK for two wks… lets see if tmr is the day for The Leviathan… Idea is a think piece that covers big macro strategic trends, seen from the vantage point of 2022.

  • Yes, yes, because trying to forecast what will happen next wk, is just so damn easy & boring.

  • If anyone has crazy and/or high conviction thoughts in regards to the lay of the land in Dec 2022 – be it asset classes, economics, geopolitics, central banks, etc – please feel free to ping ‘em across. They may potentially make the cut. 

FOMC Mins + Must Reads

Summary:

No theme is more important in the macroeconomic space than inflation right now. All the clients we are talking to share their worries about inflation risk and are looking for investment strategies to hedge against inflation. In recent weeks, we have seen a series of upside surprises in inflation data, that mostly reflect the big imbalances in the economy following the COVID recession and some data noise. However, we cannot rule out that we will experience in the recovery phase a prolonged period of high inflation due to a sudden change in regime shift characterized by rising protectionism and more re-distributive policies to fight against inequalities. If I could give only one piece of advice to investors, read everything you can about inflation and especially stagflation.

Keep on the radar

 -

To Keep In Mind Today

  • UK: Inflation & PPI data due
  • EZ: Current Account & Final CPIs figs, 30yr bond auction
  • CA: Inflation & wholesale slaes
  • US: Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Mins @ 02:00 SGT

-

Start-to-End = Gratitude + Integrity + Vision + Tenacity. Process > Outcome. Sizing > Idea.

This is the way 

KVP

Quarterly Outlook 2024 Q3

Sandcastle economics

01 / 05

  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Invest wisely in Q3 2024: Discover SaxoStrats' insights on navigating a stable yet fragile global economy.

    Read article
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain inflation and evolving monetary policies.

    Read article
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynamics echo 2021's rally.

    Read article
  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperform in Q3 2024.

    Read article
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities in Q3 2024.

    Read article

Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-gb/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

Saxo
40 Bank Street, 26th floor
E14 5DA
London
United Kingdom

Contact Saxo

Select region

United Kingdom
United Kingdom

Trade Responsibly
All trading carries risk. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more
Additional Key Information Documents are available in our trading platform.

Saxo is a registered Trading Name of Saxo Capital Markets UK Ltd (‘Saxo’). Saxo is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, Firm Reference Number 551422. Registered address: 26th Floor, 40 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London E14 5DA. Company number 7413871. Registered in England & Wales.

This website, including the information and materials contained in it, are not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in the United States, Belgium or any other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation.

It is important that you understand that with investments, your capital is at risk. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. It is your responsibility to ensure that you make an informed decision about whether or not to invest with us. If you are still unsure if investing is right for you, please seek independent advice. Saxo assumes no liability for any loss sustained from trading in accordance with a recommendation.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Android is a trademark of Google Inc.

©   since 1992