Quarterly Outlook
Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
Investment and Options Strategist
Summary: Tesla's stock has surged 24.51% in the past month, making it an opportune time for shareholders to research selling covered calls, especially with earnings approaching. This article guides you through determining if covered calls suit your investment style, how engaged you want to be, and setting your income goals. It then delves into analyzing Tesla’s options chain, selecting expiries and strikes, and provides strategic recommendations based on different risk profiles.
Tesla's stock has experienced a significant surge of 24.51% over the past month, reaching $246.39 on July 3rd. With Tesla’s upcoming earnings report on July 23rd, now might be a strategic time for Tesla shareholders to do some research on selling covered calls. This article explores potential covered call strategies and highlights key considerations.
Before diving into the specifics of selling covered calls, it is essential to answer a few key questions:
Are Covered Calls Suitable for You?
How Engaged Do You Want to Be?
What Are Your Goals?
Important note: the strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it's crucial to make informed decisions.
For a detailed analysis of Tesla’s recent stock performance, you can refer to the Saxo Market Call podcast episode from July 3rd, 2024. Fast forward to minute 6:00 to hear an in-depth discussion about Tesla's surge.
Additionally, the weekly chart of Tesla (shown below) demonstrates the recent price movements and technical levels:
Covered calls involve selling call options on a stock that you already own. This strategy allows you to generate additional income through the premiums received. For more details on how covered calls can enhance your portfolio performance, please refer to my earlier article: Using Covered Calls to Enhance Portfolio Performance.
Analyzing Tesla’s options chain as of July 5th, we can identify potential covered call opportunities. Key factors to consider include expiries, strike prices, and implied volatility. Here is an overview of the available expiries for Tesla options:
When selecting expiries and strikes for selling covered calls, consider the following criteria:
Below are a couple examples which illustrate how you could make strike and expiry selections based on the above criteria.
Examples:
Examples:
Examples:
Always remember that there is risk involved in selling covered calls. The main risk with covered calls is that if the stock price rises significantly above the strike price, you could miss out on potential gains since your shares may be called away at the strike price, which is below the market price. Additionally, while you receive a premium for selling the call, the premium might not fully offset the potential opportunity cost of having your shares called away. Generally, higher premiums correspond to higher risk, as they are often associated with higher volatility and greater uncertainty about future stock price movements. It's crucial to balance the income received from premiums with your risk tolerance and overall investment strategy.
By considering your income goals, probability of being in-the-money, and risk tolerance, you can select the most suitable expiries and strikes for your covered call strategy. This approach helps you balance potential returns with the risks and effort involved in monitoring your positions.
Check out these guides and case studies: |
---|
In-depth guide to using long-term options for strategic portfolio management Our specialized resource designed to learn you strategically manage profits and reduce reliance on single (or few) positions within your portfolio using long-term options. This guide is crafted to assist you in understanding and applying long-term options to diversify investments and secure gains while maintaining market exposure. |
Case study: using covered calls to enhance portfolio performance This case study delves into the covered call strategy, where an investor holds a stock and sells call options to generate premium income. The approach offers a balanced method for generating income and managing risk, with protection against minor declines and capped potential gains. |
Case study: using protective puts to manage risk This analysis examines the protective put strategy, where an investor owns a stock and buys put options to safeguard against significant declines. Despite the cost of the premium, this approach offers peace of mind and financial protection, making it ideal for risk-averse investors. |
Case study: using cash-secured puts to acquire stocks at a discount and generate income This review investigates the cash-secured put strategy, where an investor sells put options while holding enough cash to buy the stock if exercised. This method balances income generation with the potential to acquire stocks at a lower cost, appealing to cautious investors. |
Case study: using collars to balance risk and reward This study focuses on the collar strategy, where an investor owns a stock, buys protective puts, and sells call options to balance risk and reward. This cost-neutral approach, achieved by offsetting the cost of puts with the premiums from calls, provides a safety net and additional income, making it suitable for cautious investors. |
Disclaimer
The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.
Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-gb/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)