Outrageous Predictions
Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026
Saxo Group
Read Saxo's Outrageous Predictions for 2026, our latest batch of low probability, but high impact ev...
You can access both of our platforms from a single Saxo account.
Equity rally leaves Apple on the shelf
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
Summary: Equities are bouncing off their December lows, but Apple shares are struggling to keep pace.
The equities bounce we have seen across the board since the lows of December 26 is not being led by Apple, which has lost 40% since its peak in October 2018.
The stock is struggling to recover, and the biggest short-term test for AAPL is whether it can fully close the gap from last week. During a massive move over several days, we often see three gaps: a breakaway gap, a continuation gap and an exhaustion gap.
The gap seen last week seems to be an exhaustion gap which usually is the final step before a (larger) correction. An exhaustion gap will usually be closed within five trading days, but despite AAPL having closed the gap the correction is still struggling to get momentum.
A close above 154.90 could provide the necessary momentum, but it remains to be seen if Apple can actually close above that level. The trend is down, but a look at the Relative Strength Index shows divergence, indicating a correction is due.
Volume also peaked at the current bottom, supporting price exhaustion.
A rejection at 154.90 could lead to a retest of lows while a close above 156.40 would confirm a new uptrend... however long that might last.
The stock is struggling to recover, and the biggest short-term test for AAPL is whether it can fully close the gap from last week. During a massive move over several days, we often see three gaps: a breakaway gap, a continuation gap and an exhaustion gap.
The gap seen last week seems to be an exhaustion gap which usually is the final step before a (larger) correction. An exhaustion gap will usually be closed within five trading days, but despite AAPL having closed the gap the correction is still struggling to get momentum.
A close above 154.90 could provide the necessary momentum, but it remains to be seen if Apple can actually close above that level. The trend is down, but a look at the Relative Strength Index shows divergence, indicating a correction is due.
Volume also peaked at the current bottom, supporting price exhaustion.
A rejection at 154.90 could lead to a retest of lows while a close above 156.40 would confirm a new uptrend... however long that might last.
AAPL found support at the 200-week simple moving average at around 142.
Latest Market Insights
Outrageous Predictions 2026
-
-
Outrageous Predictions
A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
Can AI be trusted to take over in the boardroom? With the right algorithms and balanced human oversi... -
Outrageous Predictions
Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
In spite of outstanding threats to the American democratic process, the US midterms come and go cord... -
Outrageous Predictions
Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
Beijing does an end-run around the US dollar, setting up a framework for settling trade in a neutral... -
Outrageous Predictions
Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
The availability of GLP-1 drugs in pill form makes them ubiquitous, shrinking waistlines, even for p... -
Outrageous Predictions
Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
Agentic AI systems are deployed across all sectors, and after a solid start, mistakes trigger a tril... -
Outrageous Predictions
Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance
Neil Wilson
Investor Content Strategist
A quantum computer cracks today’s digital security, bringing enough chaos with it that Bitcoin crash... -
Outrageous Predictions
SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
Financial markets go into orbit, to the moon and beyond as SpaceX expands rocket launches by orders-... -
Outrageous Predictions
Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
Next year’s most anticipated wedding inspires Gen Z to drop the doomscrolling and dial up the real w... -
Outrageous Predictions
China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
Having created history’s most epic debt bubble, China boldly bets that fiscal stimulus to the tune o...