Looking for stocks to buy; here are five hot stocks to watch

Jessica Amir
Market Strategist

Summary:  US earnings season is about to get underway, and Australia’s financial year reporting just wrapped up, so let's cover five hot stocks to watch. General Mills is the best performing US stock this week in the S&P500 after the Wheat price gained 24% in the month. Pilbara Minerals, is one of this week's best performers in the ASX after selling its lithium for a record price this week to China. Whitehaven Coal is another to watch, as it's benefiting from surging coal demand and prices, with its shares trading at brand new record highs in anticipation of another record profit. Lastly, we cover why Tesla and Apple are two of the most traded stocks at Saxo in September.

General Mills 

  • General Mills is the biggest wheat exporter in the US
  • Its shares have been outperforming the market and are of the best performers in the US this year, up 22%
  • Its shares are picking up momentum as the Wheat (WHEATDEC22) price has gained 24% in a month
  • So what’s moving Wheat higher into a technical uptrend?
    • South America wheat supply has been impacted by frost and rain,
    • US supply is expected to fall due to dry conditions and drought in the US
    • Heavy rains are headed for Australia for the third year in a row amid La Nina
    • And lastly – with Russia mobilizing troops against Ukraine, this adds to supply concerns for Wheat, on concerns Ukraine’s export terminal could be shut once more.
  • So General Mills is a stock to watch, as the wheat price rises, it boost its cashflow and share price growth. 

Pilbara Minerals

  • Pilbara Minerals is Australia biggest exporter of lithium
  • Its shares have gained almost 50% this year as the lithium price tripled in the last year, fueled by electric vehicle demand
  • Pilbara Minerals auctioned off its lithium spodumene concentrate (or partly processed lithium) for a record price of AUD$7,708 with the shipment to go to China
  • So who is buying Pilbara’s lithium? Two of Pilbara’s most known customers include China’s Genfeng and the car maker Great Wall.
  • So what’s next?
    • Well if the lithium price continues to rally amid the lack of supply and rising demand, Pilbara’s shares could stay elevated supported by expectations that higher cashflow and earnings growth are ahead.
    • The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecast lithium demand to grow more than 40 times over the next two decades
  • Pilbara operates on a Price to Earnings (PE) ratio of 25 times forward earnings estimates, which is comparatively cheaper than its peers. So Pilbara could be a stock to watch.

Whitehaven Coal

  • Whitehaven is Australia's biggest exporter of coal and the best performing stock in the global share market this year, among large companies
  • Its shares are up 250%
  • Last financial year Whitehaven's earnings rose 1,500% boosted by the coal price soaring to new record highs
  • So what's next?
    • The coal price is surging amid a lack of coal supply and rising demand 
    • Demand for coal has been increasing as the world searches for cheap access to emergency energy
    • Regions like India are experiencing a heat waves, while Australia has been hit by its coldest winter on record.
    • The coal futures price, which is an indication of the future price of coal, is also continuing to move further higher into new record highs, simply telling us, that the spot coal price is likely to move higher yet again, as the world is facing a lack of energy reserves, and forward demand is also increasing.
    • Peak coal demand season is December and January, so we expect the coal price to move higher as demand increases from coals biggest consumers (India and China) amid their winter. 

     

    Tesla

    • Tesla is one of most traded stocks at Saxo globally this month
    • Across the world, Tesla electric vehicles are one of the most bought electric vehicles
    • Its shares have had a bumpy ride this year, as the company’s been plagued by higher raw materials and commodity costs
    • Although Tesla shares rallied up 50% from than their May low, there are now concerns some of those gains could fade, as the lithium price is back at record highs
    • However on the positive side for Tesla; 
      • Tesla is increasing some of its costs, such as increasing the price of supercharger station use in Europe
      • And Tesla is controlling other costs where possible, by looking to make in-house battery cells
      • As for new revenue streams; the Cybertruck’s production is set for mid-2023
      • Across Europe, Tesla is aiming to increase sales. For instance in Germany it wants to double sales growth, compared to last year, after opening new stores
      • And in the US, across the entire electric vehicle market, all EV sales are expected to rise after the United States introduces new climate law and tax credits. Bloomberg estimates total EV industry sales will make up 52% of total car sales by 2030. That’s a huge jump compared to the 5% last year. And Tesla will be capturing some of this growth
    • Tesla trades at a Price to Earnings (PE) ratio of 109 times forward earnings estimates, which make it looks expensive compared to Ford’s PE of 7 times.
    • Given commodity prices are likely to continue to rise, and Bloomberg estimates suggest Tesla’s margins could be flat this year, before picking up in 2023, you might expect Tesla's shares be pressured before potentially rebounding later next year.
     

    Apple

    • Apple is the one of the most traded stocks at Saxo globally this month
    • Its shares have also had a bumpy ride, but its innovation should support the company’s shares growing in value over the long term
    • Interestedly, Apple’s iPhone sales generate half of the group’s total revenue, and last quarter, total revenue stood at about $41 billion
    • Apple's launch of its new iPhone, including its most expensive model yet, the iPhone 14 Pro model should also help next quarterly earnings.
    • Why?
      • Well iPhone 14 shipments are said to account 60-65% of orders, which is up from the previously estimated range of 55-60%. This means Apple could have a positive outlook when they release their next quarterly earnings in late October.
      • Apples new watch and air pods should also bolster Apples outlook
      • And going forward, Apple's customer retention is set to expand as it moves to a new subscription model.
      • Apple estimates 98% of its customers want to upgrade their phone each year.
    • So that’s a reason to perhaps consider Apple for the long term


To find out more about the these companies or other opportunities, head to Saxo's Platform.  


 

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...
  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperfo...
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynami...
  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the "two-lane economy," European equities, energy commodities, and the impact of US fiscal p...
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Quarterly Outlook

    Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain ...
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities i...

Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Switzerland

Contact Saxo

Select region

Switzerland
Switzerland

All trading carries risk. Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a general Risk Warning series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. The KIDs can be accessed within the trading platform. Please note that the full prospectus can be obtained free of charge from Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or the issuer.

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and thus governed by Swiss Law. 

The content of this website represents marketing material and has not been notified or submitted to any supervisory authority.

If you contact Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or visit this website, you acknowledge and agree that any data that you transmit to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., either through this website, by telephone or by any other means of communication (e.g. e-mail), may be collected or recorded and transferred to other Saxo Bank Group companies or third parties in Switzerland or abroad and may be stored or otherwise processed by them or Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. You release Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. from its obligations under Swiss banking and securities dealer secrecies and, to the extent permitted by law, data protection laws as well as other laws and obligations to protect privacy. Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. has implemented appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect data from unauthorized processing and disclosure and applies appropriate safeguards to guarantee adequate protection of such data.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.