Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy
Chief Investment Strategist
Markets at all-time highs often leave investors with a tough decision — should you jump in now or wait for a pullback? The fear of "buying at the top" is real, but sitting on the sidelines can mean missing out on long-term growth. Instead of trying to time the market, investors can consider Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) as a more measured approach.
Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) is an investment strategy where you divide your total investment amount into smaller, regular contributions over time. Instead of investing a lump sum all at once, you invest the same fixed amount on a regular schedule, regardless of the market’s price movements.
By consistently investing, DCA smooths out the impact of market volatility. This approach allows you to buy whole shares, purchasing more when prices are low and fewer when prices are high, resulting in a balanced average cost.
To understand how DCA works, let’s consider a simple example:
Summary:
If you had invested the full $12,000 at the start of the year when the share price was $100, you would have purchased 120 shares. But by using DCA, you bought more shares during the dips, ending up with 125 shares at a lower average cost per share of $96.00.
DCA offers a systematic approach to investing, especially during periods of uncertainty. Here’s why it works so well:
DCA works well in a range of market conditions, but it is particularly useful in the following situations:
DCA can be applied to both stocks and ETFs, making it a versatile strategy for different types of portfolios.
Like any investment strategy, DCA has its strengths and limitations. Here’s a balanced view:
One of the biggest debates among investors is whether to invest a lump sum all at once or to stagger it using DCA. Research has shown that lump-sum investing tends to outperform DCA in the majority of market scenarios because markets generally trend higher over time.
However, DCA is more about managing risk and emotions than about maximizing returns. If you are concerned about volatility or feel anxious about investing a large sum all at once, DCA allows you to participate in market growth while reducing your exposure to sharp corrections.