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Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
Investment and Options Strategist
Summary: Walmart’s post-earnings sell-off has created an opportunity for investors to generate income while positioning for a potential rebound. This article explores how selling cash-secured puts can enhance yield, with additional strategies for those with neutral or bearish outlooks.
Walmart’s latest earnings report delivered mixed results, but the market’s reaction was swift and negative. The stock experienced a sharp sell-off, which also impacted broader market sentiment. Now the key question remains: has the correction reached its floor, or is there further downside ahead?
For investors considering buying Walmart (WMT:xnys) shares, this pullback may present an opportunity to generate extra yield using options strategies. One such approach is selling cash-secured puts, which allows investors to earn a premium while setting a lower entry price for the stock.
Important note: The strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it's crucial to make informed decisions.
A cash-secured put is a strategy where an investor sells a put option while holding enough cash in reserve to buy the stock if assigned. This strategy works well in uncertain market conditions where an investor is comfortable purchasing the stock at a lower price.
Trade Structure:
Walmart’s implied volatility (IV) sits at 20.96%, which is relatively elevated given its 40.59% IV rank. This means options premiums are moderately attractive, providing an opportunity for put sellers to collect solid premiums while waiting for a potential entry point.
To provide a well-rounded perspective, here are additional options strategies based on different market outlooks:
For investors comfortable with the potential of owning Walmart shares at a lower price, selling cash-secured puts offers an effective way to generate additional yield while setting up a discounted entry. If Walmart stabilizes or rebounds, the premium collected enhances returns. If the stock declines further, investors acquire shares at a reduced cost.
For active investors looking for strategic alpha, options provide flexibility in various market conditions. Whether aiming to generate income, hedge risk, or position for a potential rebound, structured options trades can enhance overall portfolio efficiency.
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