What are your options - Nvidia earnings trades

What are your options - Nvidia earnings trades

Options 10 minutes to read
Koen Hoorelbeke

Investment and Options Strategist

Summary:  Our latest article provides a comprehensive overview of 4 distinct options trading strategies. These strategies are designed to capitalize on the anticipated decrease in volatility following Nvidia's earnings release. Each strategy is meticulously crafted to cater to a specific market outlook, offering a robust toolkit for traders. This article serves as a valuable resource for both novice and experienced traders, aiming to enhance their trading acumen and decision-making process in the dynamic world of options trading.


Feedback welcome: How can we make our content better for you?

What are your options: Nvidia earnings trade setups

Today, our focus is on Nvidia, which is scheduled to release its earnings report after the bell. This article outlines 4 options trades that can be set up today, prior to the earnings release. These strategies are designed to leverage the expected decrease in volatility, potentially leading to maximum profits at the opening tomorrow.

The strategies are categorized based on market outlook: bullish, neutral and bearish. Each strategy is a credit strategy, intended to benefit from the earnings announcement tonight. The objective is to establish a position before the close, to fully benefit from the potential decrease in volatility.

The expected move is a crucial factor in these strategies. The expected move of NVDA (on November 20th, for expiration November 24th0 is plus or minus $36.59) Each strategy takes the expected move into account, allowing you to choose the direction based on your outlook. Whether you’re planning to trade today or learn for future earnings events, these strategies provide a practical guide to options trading around major corporate announcements. Let’s proceed to discuss these strategies and prepare for the world of options trading.

Important note: the strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it's crucial to make informed decisions.

In this article we're going to cover the following strategies:

  • Bullish strategy
    • Short/Credit Put Vertical Spread
        
  • Neutral / range bound strategy
    • Short Iron Condor
       
  • Bearish strategies
    • Short/Credit Call Vertical Spread
    • Short/Credit Call Broken Wing Butterfly
 

Bullish Strategy

Put Credit Spread on Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

 
  • Underlying Stock: NVDA:xnas, Last Traded at $503.91
  • Options Details:
    • Sell to Open 1x 470 Put, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 11.55/11.65, Delta: -0.2676
    • Buy to Open 1x 460 Put, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 8.85/8.95, Delta: 0.0497
  • Trade Setup:
    • Type: Limit, Quantity: 1, Price (Credit): 2.75 USD, Duration: G.T.C.
  • Financials:
    • Premium (Credit): 275.00 USD
    • Margin Impact: 521.45 EUR (can vary according to your margin profile)
    • Max Risk: -725.00 USD
    • Max Profit: 275.00 USD
    • Breakeven: 467.25 USD

  • The strategy involves selling a 470 put and buying a 460 put with the same expiration date, resulting in a net credit of $275. The breakeven point is $467.25. This trade has a defined risk of $725 and a defined profit of $275, characteristic of a credit spread that suggests a neutral to bullish outlook on the stock.

Short Iron Condor on Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

  • Underlying Stock: NVDA:xnas, Last Traded at $504.02
  • Options Details:
    • Buy to Open 1x 575 Call, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 5.90/6.00, Delta: 0.1806
    • Sell to Open 1x 570 Call, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 6.65/6.75, Delta: 0.1984
    • Sell to Open 1x 470 Put, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 11.60/11.70, Delta: -0.2684
    • Buy to Open 1x 465 Put, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 10.15/10.25, Delta: -0.2433
  • Trade Setup:
    • Type: Limit, Quantity: 1, Price (Credit): 2.00 USD, Duration: G.T.C.
  • Financials:
    • Premium (Credit): 200.00 USD
    • Margin Impact: 87.31 EUR (may varry according to margin profile)
    • Max Risk: -300.00 USD
    • Max Profit: 200.00 USD
    • Breakeven Points: 468.00 USD, 572.00 USD

  • The net credit received is $200. The breakeven points are $468.00 and $572.00. This trade has a defined risk of $300 and a potential profit of $200, characteristic of an iron condor strategy that suggests a neutral outlook on the stock.

Call Credit Spread on Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

 
  • Underlying Stock: NVDA:xnas, Last Traded at $504.04
  • Options Details:
    • Buy to Open 1x 550 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 4.75/4.80, Delta: 0.1943
    • Sell to Open 1x 540 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 6.65/6.75, Delta: 0.2518
  • Trade Setup:
    • Type: Limit, Quantity: 1, Price (Credit): 3.30 USD, Duration: G.T.C.
  • Financials:
    • Premium (Credit): 330.00 USD
    • Margin Impact: 593.42 EUR
    • Max Risk: -670.00 USD
    • Max Profit: 330.00 USD
    • Breakeven: 543.30 USD

  • The strategy involves buying a 550 call and selling a 540 call with the same expiration date, resulting in a net credit of $330. The breakeven point is $543.30. This trade has a defined risk of $670 and a defined profit of $330, characteristic of a call credit spread that suggests a neutral to bearish outlook on the stock.

Call Broken Wing Butterfly on Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

 
  • Underlying Stock: NVDA:xnas, Last Traded at $504.12
  • Options Details:
    • Buy to Open 1x 560 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 3.35/3.45, Delta: 0.1460
    • Sell to Open 2x 540 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 6.65/6.75, Delta: 0.2505
    • Buy to Open 1x 532.5 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 8.50/8.60, Delta: 0.2992
  • Trade Setup:
    • Type: Limit, Quantity: 1, Price (Credit): 1.50 USD, Duration: G.T.C.
  • Financials:
    • Premium (Credit): 150.00 USD
    • Margin Impact: 751.24 EUR
    • Max Risk: -1,100.00 USD
    • Max Profit: 900.00 USD
    • Breakeven: 549.00 USD

  • The strategy involves buying a 560 call, selling double the amount of 540 calls, and buying a 532.5 call with the same expiration date, resulting in a net credit of $150. The breakeven point is $549.00. This trade has a defined risk of $1,100 and a defined profit of $900, characteristic of a call broken wing butterfly that suggests a neutral to slightly bullish outlook on the stock, if you're aim is to go for the maximum profit. However, if the initial credit received ($150/contract) fits your trading objectives, you could see the strategy as bearish to neutral: as long as the price of NVDA stays below 532.5, you will keep your initial credit. If it rises higher, you still have the "sweet-spot" which could yield you an extra profit. If it goes above the breakeven you're most probably have max loss.


Conclusion

In conclusion, this article presents a range of options trading strategies to leverage the expected decrease in volatility following Nvidia’s earnings release. These strategies, are categorized based on market outlook and are designed as short volatility strategies. While these strategies provide a practical guide, it’s crucial to remember that investing in the stock market carries risk, and careful consideration is essential when planning options trades. Happy trading!


Options are complex, high-risk products and require knowledge, investment experience and, in many applications, high risk acceptance. We recommend that before you invest in options, you inform yourself well about the operation and risks. In Saxo Bank's Terms of Use you will find more information on this in the Important Information Options, Futures, Margin and Deficit Procedure. You can also consult the Essential Information Document of the option you want to invest in on Saxo Bank's website.

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Capital Markets UK Ltd. (Saxo) and the Saxo Bank Group provides execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation. Access and use of this website is subject to: (i) the Terms of Use; (ii) the full Disclaimer; (iii) the Risk Warning; and (iv) any other notice or terms applying to Saxo’s news and research.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer for more details.

Saxo
40 Bank Street, 26th floor
E14 5DA
London
United Kingdom

Contact Saxo

Select region

United Kingdom
United Kingdom

Trade Responsibly
All trading carries risk. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more
Additional Key Information Documents are available in our trading platform.

Saxo is a registered Trading Name of Saxo Capital Markets UK Ltd (‘Saxo’). Saxo is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, Firm Reference Number 551422. Registered address: 26th Floor, 40 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London E14 5DA. Company number 7413871. Registered in England & Wales.

This website, including the information and materials contained in it, are not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in the United States, Belgium or any other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation.

It is important that you understand that with investments, your capital is at risk. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. It is your responsibility to ensure that you make an informed decision about whether or not to invest with us. If you are still unsure if investing is right for you, please seek independent advice. Saxo assumes no liability for any loss sustained from trading in accordance with a recommendation.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Android is a trademark of Google Inc.

©   since 1992