What are your options - Nvidia earnings trades

What are your options - Nvidia earnings trades

Options 10 minutes to read
Koen Hoorelbeke

Investment and Options Strategist

Summary:  Our latest article provides a comprehensive overview of 4 distinct options trading strategies. These strategies are designed to capitalize on the anticipated decrease in volatility following Nvidia's earnings release. Each strategy is meticulously crafted to cater to a specific market outlook, offering a robust toolkit for traders. This article serves as a valuable resource for both novice and experienced traders, aiming to enhance their trading acumen and decision-making process in the dynamic world of options trading.


Feedback welcome: How can we make our content better for you?

What are your options: Nvidia earnings trade setups

Today, our focus is on Nvidia, which is scheduled to release its earnings report after the bell. This article outlines 4 options trades that can be set up today, prior to the earnings release. These strategies are designed to leverage the expected decrease in volatility, potentially leading to maximum profits at the opening tomorrow.

The strategies are categorized based on market outlook: bullish, neutral and bearish. Each strategy is a credit strategy, intended to benefit from the earnings announcement tonight. The objective is to establish a position before the close, to fully benefit from the potential decrease in volatility.

The expected move is a crucial factor in these strategies. The expected move of NVDA (on November 20th, for expiration November 24th0 is plus or minus $36.59) Each strategy takes the expected move into account, allowing you to choose the direction based on your outlook. Whether you’re planning to trade today or learn for future earnings events, these strategies provide a practical guide to options trading around major corporate announcements. Let’s proceed to discuss these strategies and prepare for the world of options trading.

Important note: the strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it's crucial to make informed decisions.

In this article we're going to cover the following strategies:

  • Bullish strategy
    • Short/Credit Put Vertical Spread
        
  • Neutral / range bound strategy
    • Short Iron Condor
       
  • Bearish strategies
    • Short/Credit Call Vertical Spread
    • Short/Credit Call Broken Wing Butterfly
 

Bullish Strategy

Put Credit Spread on Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

 
  • Underlying Stock: NVDA:xnas, Last Traded at $503.91
  • Options Details:
    • Sell to Open 1x 470 Put, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 11.55/11.65, Delta: -0.2676
    • Buy to Open 1x 460 Put, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 8.85/8.95, Delta: 0.0497
  • Trade Setup:
    • Type: Limit, Quantity: 1, Price (Credit): 2.75 USD, Duration: G.T.C.
  • Financials:
    • Premium (Credit): 275.00 USD
    • Margin Impact: 521.45 EUR (can vary according to your margin profile)
    • Max Risk: -725.00 USD
    • Max Profit: 275.00 USD
    • Breakeven: 467.25 USD

  • The strategy involves selling a 470 put and buying a 460 put with the same expiration date, resulting in a net credit of $275. The breakeven point is $467.25. This trade has a defined risk of $725 and a defined profit of $275, characteristic of a credit spread that suggests a neutral to bullish outlook on the stock.

Short Iron Condor on Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

  • Underlying Stock: NVDA:xnas, Last Traded at $504.02
  • Options Details:
    • Buy to Open 1x 575 Call, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 5.90/6.00, Delta: 0.1806
    • Sell to Open 1x 570 Call, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 6.65/6.75, Delta: 0.1984
    • Sell to Open 1x 470 Put, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 11.60/11.70, Delta: -0.2684
    • Buy to Open 1x 465 Put, 15-Dec-2023, Bid/Ask: 10.15/10.25, Delta: -0.2433
  • Trade Setup:
    • Type: Limit, Quantity: 1, Price (Credit): 2.00 USD, Duration: G.T.C.
  • Financials:
    • Premium (Credit): 200.00 USD
    • Margin Impact: 87.31 EUR (may varry according to margin profile)
    • Max Risk: -300.00 USD
    • Max Profit: 200.00 USD
    • Breakeven Points: 468.00 USD, 572.00 USD

  • The net credit received is $200. The breakeven points are $468.00 and $572.00. This trade has a defined risk of $300 and a potential profit of $200, characteristic of an iron condor strategy that suggests a neutral outlook on the stock.

Call Credit Spread on Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

 
  • Underlying Stock: NVDA:xnas, Last Traded at $504.04
  • Options Details:
    • Buy to Open 1x 550 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 4.75/4.80, Delta: 0.1943
    • Sell to Open 1x 540 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 6.65/6.75, Delta: 0.2518
  • Trade Setup:
    • Type: Limit, Quantity: 1, Price (Credit): 3.30 USD, Duration: G.T.C.
  • Financials:
    • Premium (Credit): 330.00 USD
    • Margin Impact: 593.42 EUR
    • Max Risk: -670.00 USD
    • Max Profit: 330.00 USD
    • Breakeven: 543.30 USD

  • The strategy involves buying a 550 call and selling a 540 call with the same expiration date, resulting in a net credit of $330. The breakeven point is $543.30. This trade has a defined risk of $670 and a defined profit of $330, characteristic of a call credit spread that suggests a neutral to bearish outlook on the stock.

Call Broken Wing Butterfly on Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

 
  • Underlying Stock: NVDA:xnas, Last Traded at $504.12
  • Options Details:
    • Buy to Open 1x 560 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 3.35/3.45, Delta: 0.1460
    • Sell to Open 2x 540 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 6.65/6.75, Delta: 0.2505
    • Buy to Open 1x 532.5 Call, 24-Nov-2023, Bid/Ask: 8.50/8.60, Delta: 0.2992
  • Trade Setup:
    • Type: Limit, Quantity: 1, Price (Credit): 1.50 USD, Duration: G.T.C.
  • Financials:
    • Premium (Credit): 150.00 USD
    • Margin Impact: 751.24 EUR
    • Max Risk: -1,100.00 USD
    • Max Profit: 900.00 USD
    • Breakeven: 549.00 USD

  • The strategy involves buying a 560 call, selling double the amount of 540 calls, and buying a 532.5 call with the same expiration date, resulting in a net credit of $150. The breakeven point is $549.00. This trade has a defined risk of $1,100 and a defined profit of $900, characteristic of a call broken wing butterfly that suggests a neutral to slightly bullish outlook on the stock, if you're aim is to go for the maximum profit. However, if the initial credit received ($150/contract) fits your trading objectives, you could see the strategy as bearish to neutral: as long as the price of NVDA stays below 532.5, you will keep your initial credit. If it rises higher, you still have the "sweet-spot" which could yield you an extra profit. If it goes above the breakeven you're most probably have max loss.


Conclusion

In conclusion, this article presents a range of options trading strategies to leverage the expected decrease in volatility following Nvidia’s earnings release. These strategies, are categorized based on market outlook and are designed as short volatility strategies. While these strategies provide a practical guide, it’s crucial to remember that investing in the stock market carries risk, and careful consideration is essential when planning options trades. Happy trading!


Options are complex, high-risk products and require knowledge, investment experience and, in many applications, high risk acceptance. We recommend that before you invest in options, you inform yourself well about the operation and risks. In Saxo Bank's Terms of Use you will find more information on this in the Important Information Options, Futures, Margin and Deficit Procedure. You can also consult the Essential Information Document of the option you want to invest in on Saxo Bank's website.

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...
  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperfo...
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynami...
  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the "two-lane economy," European equities, energy commodities, and the impact of US fiscal p...
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Quarterly Outlook

    Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain ...
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities i...

Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Switzerland

Contact Saxo

Select region

Switzerland
Switzerland

All trading carries risk. Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a general Risk Warning series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. The KIDs can be accessed within the trading platform. Please note that the full prospectus can be obtained free of charge from Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or the issuer.

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and thus governed by Swiss Law. 

The content of this website represents marketing material and has not been notified or submitted to any supervisory authority.

If you contact Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or visit this website, you acknowledge and agree that any data that you transmit to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., either through this website, by telephone or by any other means of communication (e.g. e-mail), may be collected or recorded and transferred to other Saxo Bank Group companies or third parties in Switzerland or abroad and may be stored or otherwise processed by them or Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. You release Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. from its obligations under Swiss banking and securities dealer secrecies and, to the extent permitted by law, data protection laws as well as other laws and obligations to protect privacy. Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. has implemented appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect data from unauthorized processing and disclosure and applies appropriate safeguards to guarantee adequate protection of such data.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.