Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Trader Strategy
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Crypto Update: Deriving Implications
Jacob Pouncey
Cryptocurrency analyst, Saxo Bank
Summary: This week the entire crypto market cap rose by 9.5%, bringing the market cap to USD 355 bn. Ethereum and Bitcoin rose by 4.5% and 15% respectively. This rise resumes the advance of the market which started in April this year.
- FCA suggests a ban on crypto-derivatives
UK’s financial watchdog proposed a ban on crypto derivatives to retail investors. The regulator cited a lack of knowledge and the general financial loss for retail clients dealing in crypto-derivatives over the observed period. However, trading and marketing of the actual digital assets themselves would still be permitted under the ban. The proposal can be found here. The FCA is looking for comments during the feedback period lasting until October this year.
- Singapore suggest VAT-free transactions
The Inland Revenue Authority of Singapore (IRAS) proposed draft regulation to exempt cryptocurrency transactions from the local value-added tax. This type of legislation will help to grease the wheels of the local crypto-economy, making certain activities more profitable, and give clarity to firms operating in Singapore. This is a peek at the future of the crypto economy where regulators begin to adopt clear and favorable legislation to capture a share of the growing crypto-economy.
- Kraken CEO in favour of Tether
Jesse Powell, CEO of the crypto-exchange Kraken, spoke to the legitimacy of Tether the controversial stable coin. Tether has long been speculated to print tethers (USDT) into existence with little oversight and no collateral backing. However, Powell goes on to state that the increase in Tether is an accurate albeit small snapshot of the total fiat currency flow to exchanges. He states that changes in tether supply will likely correlate with the actual banking flows to and from exchanges. His statements give another narrative to the controversial stable coin project.
- Telegram’s token to sell at triple value
One of the largest ICOs, which has yet to show a production-ready product using it native token GRAM, will have some of its ICO tokens listed by a third party for sale at triple the previous ICO round’s price. If it sells out, it shows that investors are more than happy to purchase tokens that have minimal use case in the real world all in the pursuit of yield. Downstream investors are buying at a price that is difficult to justify, while early investors cash out at a healthy multiple. This is eerily similar to a spate of tech unicorn IPOs this year which have been hard on those who invested at the IPO, yet kind to the early investors in companies with little or no profit.
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