background image

Crypto Update: Financial troubles

Cryptocurrencies 5 minutes to read
Jacob Pouncey

Cryptocurrency analyst, Saxo Bank

Summary:  This week the entire crypto market cap fell by 1%, bringing the market cap to $175 billion. Among the biggest currencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum fell by 2% and 3% respectively.


Bitcoin’s market share has been steadily increasing since the start of April from 50% to a high of 54.7%. This metric highlights the trend that many digital assets are down relative to Bitcoin. 

Bitfinex and Tether an unholy union

Bitfinex lawyers confirmed on April 30 that the popular stable coin (USDT) is backed by $0.74 for every USDT outstanding. This release was a result of the accusation from New York Attorney General that Bitfinex covered up a $850 million loss, by taking a $900m loan from Tether Holdings, while not informing or flat out lying to investors. Bitfinex holds that the loss is due to the freezing of funds that were under the custody of Crypto Capital in various jurisdictions. The NY AG has a week to respond to the lawyers with detailed reasoning. Until then, USDT continues to trade close to the 1:1 USD parity, possibly meaning that the market believes USDT is reliably backed by US dollar reserves, and the loan between the fellow iFinex subsidiary, BitFinex, and Tether.


Shorts reach highest level in two years

Short interests have reached an all-time high as a percentage of positions on Bitfinex. Shorts stand at over 62% of the market. This could mean that the market is expecting the recent rally to run out of steam or that the news from the Bitfinex and New York Attorney General battle will negatively impact price. Alternatively, this record high short position could set the market up for short squeeze all the way to $6k or beyond.


Bitcoin volumes are declining

A declining trading volume indicates a decline in the supply of liquid bitcoins. A look at the Bitcoin blockchain shows that the network has reversed a declining trend in the amount of USD value transacted on-chain reaching a 10-month high. However, this is attributable to the recent price bump. Looking at the actual BTC transacted on-chain shows similar information, that volume has been declining since Q4 2017 with a recent uptick in April. Research group Diar suggests that this means Bitcoin has yet to find traction in a more substantial use case outside of speculative trading.
Note: The next Crypto Weekly Update will appear on May 22.

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperfo...
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynami...
  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the "two-lane economy," European equities, energy commodities, and the impact of US fiscal p...
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Quarterly Outlook

    Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain ...
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities i...


Business Hills Park – Building 4,
4th Floor, office 401, Dubai Hills Estate, P.O. Box 33641, Dubai, UAE

Contact Saxo

Select region

UAE
UAE

Trade responsibly
All trading carries risk. Read more. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more

Saxo Bank A/S is licensed by the Danish Financial Supervisory Authority and operates in the UAE under a representative office license issued by the Central bank of the UAE.

The content and material made available on this website and the linked sites are provided by Saxo Bank A/S. It is the sole responsibility of the recipient to ascertain the terms of and comply with any local laws or regulation to which they are subject.

The UAE Representative Office of Saxo Bank A/S markets the Saxo Bank A/S trading platform and the products offered by Saxo Bank A/S.