US announces record green energy spending, RBA deputy gov to join FMG

US announces record green energy spending, RBA deputy gov to join FMG

Equities 6 minutes to read
Jessica Amir

Market Strategist

Summary:  India reopens, Malaysia is next, while oil prices retreat to $109.94, with these factors supporting global travel, tourism stocks and casinos stocks rallying. Meanwhile money chases uranium stocks as Biden considers sanctioning a major Russian Uranium supplier. Plus savvy traders note US oil reserves are falling, OPEC+ nations can’t meet oil production targets so investors continue to buy US oil companies, like OXY that makes 88% of its revenue from the US, seeing it hold its best performing post in the S&P500 this year. Meanwhile Amazon races to be included in the Dow Jones 30, Biden drops barriers for crypto adoption, the US House passes $1.5 trillion of spending, and Rio Tinto ends all commercial relationships with Russia.


What’s happening in equites markets?

  • In Australia, the market benchmark, the ASX200 rose for the second day, 1.4% on Thursday, which erased yesterday’s fall. What do you need to know? The technical indicators show the market looks bullish on the hourly and day chart, but the ASX200 is poised for further pull backs in the weeks and months ahead as the market factors in the two Rs are coming… rate rises in the US and Australia and a recession.
  • Today , the best performer on the ASX; was Paladin Energy (PDN). Its shares rose 13% after Biden looks set to exclude Russian Uranium. Countries and stockbrokers alike are increasingly optimistic about Uranium, as we mentioned yesterday.  The second best performing is Block (SQ2), up 8%. SQ2 is the point of sale software provider that took over Afterpay and makes 74% of its revenue from Bitcoin (via transactions). As above, Block’s rally comes as Biden’s administration announced it’s stepping toward building a framework for the development of cryptocurrency, which is tipped to drop the barrier for institutional ownership.
  • In the negative coroner of the Australian share market today; Nickel Mines (NIC) shares continued to fall, for the third day, stumbling 18%. This takes PDN’s shares back to the November 2021 price. The reason? The London Metal Exchange (LME) halted nickel trades after the Nickel price rose 250% in just two days after Chinese nickel giant Tsingshan Holding Group Co. reportedly closed its short positions in nickel futures. Now the Chinese nickel giant reportedly has billions of dollars of debt and it had to get loans from JPMorgan Chase and China Construction Bank. However, nickel is a key ingredient that faces rising demand over the long term due to its use in lithium batteries for electric vehicles. So that’s a consideration.
  • In the US, in breaking news, the US house passed the long-delayed $1.5 trillion spending bill that’s expected to fund the government to the rest of the year, with 'record investment' pledged to lower emissions. $13.6 billion will go toward emergency spending related in Ukraine, including funds for aid, $3.5 billion to replace weapons given to Ukraine, and $3 billion to bolster US troops in Europe (this supports our view that globally listed military stocks and the military sector will likely see long term growth). Separately, $103 billion will be put in transportation, with $1.2 billion for a new carbon reduction program, and $3.3 billion to go to rail. And lastly, and excitedly, funds will also be allocated to an electric vehicle ferry pilot program, and toward research for automotive vehicles. On Thursday the S&P 500 (US500.I) and Nasdaq 100 (USNAS100.I) futures suggest the markets will open flat. Remember, importantly the market is bracing for the US Federal Reserve to make an interest rate hike of 0.25% next week.
  • In Asia today, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HSI.I) and China’s CSI300 (000300.I) rallied about 2% this morning.  Financials and technologies led the market higher. Insurance and banks rose 1% to 5%.  Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH.I) rose over 3%.  Bilibili (09626) was up more than 8%.  Energy stocks declined across the board.  Semiconductors did well, leading names rising 2% to 5%.  NASDAQ listed Chinese EV maker Nio (NIO) started trading today in Hong Kong today with ticker (09866).  Li Ning (02331) stabilized after its 9% fall yesterday, following Norway’s sovereign fund announcement to exclude the company from its investment due to “unacceptable risk that the company contributes to serious human rights violations” in. [Written by Redmond Wong] 

What to consider now?

  • In Airline news: Qantas (QAN) and Air New Zealand (AIZ) announced they will rise fares as they are not able to absorb the rising cost of fuel.
  • Fortescue Metals (FMG). Iron ore and future hydrogen business Fortescue Metals (FMG) announced a partnership with Airbus to ‘decarbonize’ the aviation industry. The FMG founder said; “green energy is so much simpler than putting in an oil and gas refinery or a nuclear power plant. I’d rather put in a few solar panels and wind turbines than those honking great smelly things”. Andrew Forrest said the new partnership was getting approvals and capital for the project. Twiggy Forest said Fortescue (FMG) will be the world’s first fully integrated resources and renewable energy company with lithium, iron, and nickel. FMG will be a“one-stop shop for that and your hydrogen and ammonia, and your green electricity”. Also in news;, the Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Guy Debelle resigned from the RBA to take a role with FMG as the Chief Financial Officer for its green energy business, Fortescue Future Industries.
  • In Hong Kong & the China A share market:  The Peoples’ Bank of China (PBOC) said that it would send more than RMB 1 trillion of its cumulative earnings to the Ministry of Finance (MOF).  The amount has been accounted for as part of the RMB2.3 trillion transfer of SOE profits and fiscal stabilization to finance expenditures set out in Premier Li’s report to the National People’s Congress last Saturday.  To access the impact on the money supply, market participants will keep a close eye on if the PBOC will sell foreign currencies from its reserve for RMB or to simply credit the MOF’s account at the PBOC, i.e. printing new money.  China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) pledged to coordinate efforts to increase the country’s daily coal production to over 12 million tons. [Written by Redmond Wong] 

Upcoming company calendar

In Australia?

  • March 11, WiseTech (WTC) goes ex-dividend
  • March 14, Chalice Mining (CHN) releases sales estimates

In Hong Kong & mainland China, company earnings to watch

  • Mar 10: MTR Corp (00066), JD.com (09618), JD Logistics (02618), AIA (01299)
  • Mar 11: China Unicom (00762), Swire (01972)

For a global look at markets – tune into our Podcast 

For prior Australian market and APAC updates - click here. 

  

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

Content disclaimer

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-mena/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)


Business Hills Park – Building 4,
4th Floor, office 401, Dubai Hills Estate, P.O. Box 33641, Dubai, UAE

Contact Saxo

Select region

UAE
UAE

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.