Technical Update - DAX rejected at key resistance. EuroStoxx50 double bottom pattern struggling to release upside potential Technical Update - DAX rejected at key resistance. EuroStoxx50 double bottom pattern struggling to release upside potential Technical Update - DAX rejected at key resistance. EuroStoxx50 double bottom pattern struggling to release upside potential

Technical Update - DAX rejected at key resistance. EuroStoxx50 double bottom pattern struggling to release upside potential

3 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

DAX seems to be rejected once again at the 12,927 resistance and 0.618 retracement. DAX must close above 12,931 for further upside. RSI is still showing negative sentiment a close above 60 threshold is needed for the to change to positive.
If those two scenarios play out DAX is likely to test the falling black trendline the 0.786 retracement at around 13,200.
If DAX cannot close above 12,931 and drops back below 12,548 bear trend is set to resume. That scenario will be confirmed if the RSI closes below its lower rising trendline
Below both DAX cash Index and the GER40 cfd/Future Index

 

Source: Saxo Group
Source: Saxo Group

After forming a Double Bottom pattern EuroStoxx50 is hovering around its falling trendline and testing the 0.618 retracement of the September sell-off. A pattern that has potential to around 3,683. However, there seems to be overhead resistance around current levels with the 55 and 100 SMA’s coming down. The provide resistance and indicate underlying bearish trend.
RSI also still showing negative sentiment and has no divergence. IF RSI fails to close above 60 and gets rejected bear trend on the EuroSToxx50 is likely to resume.
If EuroStoxx50 closes below 3,422 the bear trend is to resume

Source: Saxo Group
Note: The author of this article is at the time of writing holding a short position in GER40

Quarterly Outlook 2024 Q3

Sandcastle economics

01 / 05

  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Invest wisely in Q3 2024: Discover SaxoStrats' insights on navigating a stable yet fragile global economy.

    Read article
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain inflation and evolving monetary policies.

    Read article
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynamics echo 2021's rally.

    Read article
  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperform in Q3 2024.

    Read article
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities in Q3 2024.

    Read article
Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website is not intended to and does not change or expand on this. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-mena/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)


Business Hills Park – Building 4,
4th Floor, office 401, Dubai Hills Estate, P.O. Box 33641, Dubai, UAE

Contact Saxo

Select region

UAE
UAE

Trade responsibly
All trading carries risk. Read more. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more

Saxo Bank A/S is licensed by the Danish Financial Supervisory Authority and operates in the UAE under a representative office license issued by the Central bank of the UAE.

The content and material made available on this website and the linked sites are provided by Saxo Bank A/S. It is the sole responsibility of the recipient to ascertain the terms of and comply with any local laws or regulation to which they are subject.

The UAE Representative Office of Saxo Bank A/S markets the Saxo Bank A/S trading platform and the products offered by Saxo Bank A/S.