Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
You can access all of our platforms from a single Saxo account.
Technical Update - Hang Seng/HK50, China A50 and JP225
Equities 3 minutes to read
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
Summary: Hang Seng/HK50 caught range bound
China A50 in falling channel
JP225/Nikkei towards all-time high
Hang Seng Index is caught range bound between 17,000 and 18,200. Break out is needed for direction
RSI is showing negative sentiment indicating break out is likely to the down side. Hang Seng is also on the daily chart below the Cloud and below 100 DMA.
A close above 18,200 could fuel a swift bullish move to 18,900 resistance. The falling 200 DMA will add to the overhead resistance.
A close below 17K and HSI will quite likely resume downtrend with potential to Q4 2022 low around 15K
HK50 cfd range bound between 17K and 18,338. Break above 18,338 likely to fuel a rally to 18,910
Close below 17K the downtrend will resume
China A50 future is trading in a falling channel pattern and seems set to test the October low and support at around 11,585
For China A50 to reverse the bearish trend a close above 12,270 is needed.
If that reverse reversal scenario plays out move to around 12,720-12,930 would be in the cards
JP225 cfd (Nikkei225) has closed above resistance at around 33,484 and seems set for higher for higher levels.
RSI is in positive sentiment and the 55 DMA is close to breaking above the 100 DMA, and both are rising which is indicating an underlying bullish sentiment and trend.
JP225 could test June peak at around 34K but a move higher towards the all-time high around 38,195 going in to 2024 should not be ruled out
To reverse the bullish trend a 33K below is needed.
Latest Market Insights
Quarterly Outlook
-
-
Quarterly Outlook
Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
-
Quarterly Outlook
China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
-
Quarterly Outlook
Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification
Ole Hansen
Head of Commodity Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto... -
Quarterly Outlook
Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright
Ole Hansen
Head of Commodity Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c... -
Quarterly Outlook
FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...