Technical Update - SP 500 and Nasdaq 100. Correction unfolding Technical Update - SP 500 and Nasdaq 100. Correction unfolding Technical Update - SP 500 and Nasdaq 100. Correction unfolding

Technical Update - SP 500 and Nasdaq 100. Correction unfolding

3 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

Summary:  A correction seems to be unfolding in the US Main Indices. With weekly charts in the process of forming top and reversal patterns , further 3%, maybe 5% down side could be seen


S&P 500/US500 cfd was yesterday hit by heavy selling. A correction seems to be unfolding. A correction that is likely to take S&P 500 to test the lower rising trendline and support at around 4,793.
A close below both could increase the selling pressure pushing S&P 500 down to test the key support at around 4,687

RSI divergence has been warning of an imbalance in the market, a looming trend exhaustion. And now it seems to be unfolding.
For S&P 500 to resume uptrend a close above 4,931 is needed

Source all charts and data: Saxo Group
On the weekly chart S&P 500 could be forming a Bearish Engulfing pattern. For that to unfold  a close tomorrow Friday below last week’s opening price at 4,853 is required

Nasdaq 100/USNAS100  is likely to be testing the support at around 16,963 following yesterday’s sell-off. The correction has been looming after RSI started to show divergence a few days ago. A correction is unfolding. A correction that is likely to test support at around 16,963. A close below is likely to push the Index lows to strong support at around 16,249 - 16,165.

The rising 55 DMA will offer some support which could limit the depth of the correction

 

Weekly Nasdaq 100 chart seems to be in the process of drawing a Doji Evening top and reversal like pattern – circled (ideally the body of the Doji – last week – and the body this week’s bearish candle should not overlap). Nevertheless, the top and reversal indication should not be ignored.
Combined with RSI showing divergence there is strong indicating of a larger correction.

For Nasdaq 100 to resume and extend the uptrend behaviour a close above 17,665 is needed

Quarterly Outlook 2024 Q3

Sandcastle economics

01 / 05

  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Invest wisely in Q3 2024: Discover SaxoStrats' insights on navigating a stable yet fragile global economy.

    Read article
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain inflation and evolving monetary policies.

    Read article
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynamics echo 2021's rally.

    Read article
  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperform in Q3 2024.

    Read article
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities in Q3 2024.

    Read article
Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website is not intended to and does not change or expand on this. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-mena/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)


Business Hills Park – Building 4,
4th Floor, office 401, Dubai Hills Estate, P.O. Box 33641, Dubai, UAE

Contact Saxo

Select region

UAE
UAE

Trade responsibly
All trading carries risk. Read more. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more

Saxo Bank A/S is licensed by the Danish Financial Supervisory Authority and operates in the UAE under a representative office license issued by the Central bank of the UAE.

The content and material made available on this website and the linked sites are provided by Saxo Bank A/S. It is the sole responsibility of the recipient to ascertain the terms of and comply with any local laws or regulation to which they are subject.

The UAE Representative Office of Saxo Bank A/S markets the Saxo Bank A/S trading platform and the products offered by Saxo Bank A/S.