Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Trader Strategy
Steen Jakobsen
Chief Investment Officer
Summary: EM assets are trading at a deep discount, but a shift in growth leadership from the US to China could lead to a weaker US dollar, which would support commodities and EM again. Meanwhile the simmering Sino-US trade war heightens the risks for the global economy, and we are at a crossroads on several fronts: globalisation, geopolitics, and economics.