Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Chief Macro Strategist
Summary: President Trump's trade war against China has left industrial metals reeling, while oil prices have risen sharply following the imposition of new sanctions on Iran. Uncertainties abound, not least of which is the full impact of the Iran sanctions and the size of the resulting production cut, which will determine what oil costs by year-end.