Reddit: meme stock or tech giant?

Reddit: meme stock or tech giant?

Saxo Be Invested
Saxo

Key points in this article

  • Social Media Darling Goes Public: Reddit, known for its "wallstreetbets" forum, finally IPOed on March 21st, valued at $6.5 billion.

  • UGC Powerhouse: Reddit leverages user-generated content to fuel growth, boasting 73 million daily active users and attracting a $60 million data deal with Google.

  • Retail Investor Haven: Reddit's user base boomed during the meme stock frenzy, solidifying its position as the go-to platform for U.S. retail investors.

  • Profitability on the Horizon: Despite revenue growth, Reddit remains unprofitable, though losses are narrowing. They project strong user growth moving forward.
Reddit, one of the world's most influential social platforms and known for the "wallstreetbets" forum, has finally confirmed its initial public offering (IPO) on March 21st. The company has been pursuing a listing for more than three years. Reddit's listing will be one of the largest initial public offerings so far in 2024. This is also the first IPO of a large social media company since Pinterest went public in 2019. The number of Reddit users has exploded during the pandemic when U.S. stock retail investors who were active on the Reddit forum gathered together to speculate on GME and other meme stocks. It is regarded as the "base camp for retail investors in U.S. stocks".

Long-awaited IPO

Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI, is disclosed as the 3rd largest shareholder, following Advance Magazine Publishers and Tencent. The company is valued at as much as USD 6.5 billion. Reddit's IPO will be a major confidence test for investors' interest in new stock listings now. It has been more than two years since Reddit began preparing for its listing. So far this year, the recovery of the IPO market has been uneven. On a fully diluted basis, Reddit is valued below its USD 10 billion valuation in its 2021 funding round. The company will list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker "RDDT"

Revenue Model

In terms of financial performance, the prospectus shows in 2022 and 2023, Reddit's annual revenue will reach USD 667 million and USD 804 million respectively, a year-on-year increase of 20.5%. In addition, the company's net loss in 2022 was USD 159 million. Although it will still be in the red in 2023, the loss has narrowed to USD 91 million. Reddit also revealed in the IPO document that as of December 31st, 2023, its average daily active users were 73.1 million and weekly active users were 268 million. At the same time, there are more than 100,000 active communities on the platform, and the cumulative number of posts on the platform has reached 1 billion. Interestingly, Reddit, which has emerged based on the UGC model (User Generated Content), has formulated a directional share plan and invited some Reddit moderators and users to purchase the company's Class A common shares before the IPO.

In February 2024, Reddit and Google announced that they have reached a license agreement worth approximately USD 60 million per year. Reddit comments: "We believe that our growing platform data will become a key element in leading large language model ('LLM') training and become an additional revenue channel for Reddit."

Growth Expectation

As of December 2023, Reddit has projected 27% year-on-year growth in terms of daily active users, with 36.4 million users based in the US, while 36.7 million are based in the rest of the world. To further strengthen its user economy, Reddit's user-created content is seen as a unique positioning of real human experience.
Reddit IPO prospectus
Reddit IPO prospectus

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperfo...
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynami...
  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the "two-lane economy," European equities, energy commodities, and the impact of US fiscal p...
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Quarterly Outlook

    Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain ...
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities i...

Disclaimer

The Saxo Group entities each provide execution-only service, and access to analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website is not intended to and does not change or expand on this. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Inspiration Disclaimer and (v) Notices applying to Trade Inspiration, Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular, no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Trading in financial instruments carries risk, and may not be suitable for you. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please read our disclaimers:
Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-sg/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

None of the information contained here constitutes an offer to purchase or sell a financial instrument, or to make any investments. Saxo Markets does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information nor for any loss arising from any investment made in reliance of this presentation. Any opinions made are subject to change and may be personal to the author. These may not necessarily reflect the opinion of Saxo Markets or its affiliates.

Saxo Markets
88 Market Street
CapitaSpring #31-01
Singapore 048948

Contact Saxo

Select region

Singapore
Singapore

Saxo Capital Markets Pte Ltd ('Saxo Markets') is a company authorised and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) [Co. Reg. No.: 200601141M ] and is a wholly owned subsidiary of Saxo Bank A/S, headquartered in Denmark. Please refer to our General Business Terms & Risk Warning to consider whether acquiring or continuing to hold financial products is suitable for you, prior to opening an account and investing in a financial product.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Trading in leveraged products such as Margin FX products may result in your losses exceeding your initial deposits. Saxo Markets does not provide financial advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo Markets does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation.

The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit www.home.saxo/en-sg/about-us/awards.

The information or the products and services referred to on this website may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and Services offered on this website are not intended for residents of the United States, Malaysia and Japan. Please click here to view our full disclaimer.

This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries and regions. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.