Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Chief Macro Strategist
Summary: Today we look at the market turning tail badly yesterday and posting a bearish reversal after a gap opening higher. The action was sympathetic with the massive deflation in NVDA options premium as the gap higher in that company's stock on the company's results was entirely erased during yesterday's session. Elsewhere, we look at the USD resurgent ahead of a speech from Fed Chair Powell at Jackson Hole, with ECB President Lagarde also set to peak. In fixed income, we note the continued elevation at the short end of the US treasury yield curve suggesting the market has priced in a higher-for-longer policy stance from the Fed. We note as well that today is the first day for major internet companies to face the EU's new Digital Services Act, with possibly huge implications. This and more on today's pod, which features Peter Garnry on equities, Althea Spinozzi on fixed income and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Listen to today’s podcast - slides are available via the link.
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Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
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