Technical Update - Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla

Technical Update - Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla

Equities 5 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

Summary:  Alphabet establishing uptrend?
Amazon breaking bullish
Apple struggling to maintain upside momentum
Meta confirming bullish picture
Microsoft stalling. Continuing the Bullish trend or reversal?
Nvidia on the verge of breaking bullish, but will it?
Tesla could be breaking deadlock and built bullish trend


Alphabet C (Google) is trying to establish an uptrend short-term. If closing above 141.10 and if RSI is closing back above 60 threshold that scenario is to playout.
If that scenario plays out there is upside potential to previous all-time high around 151.8, possibly higher.

If Closing below 129.40 the possible uptrend scenario is shattered and Alphabet could slide lower 
Source all charts and data: Saxo Group

Amazon closed Frida above resistance at around 149.26 thus breaking bullish out of its Ascending triangle.
The top and reversal pattern formed in November and the RSI divergence now cancelled.

Amazon seems et for higher levels with no strong resistance until around 167.50.

Weekly chart is close to cancel its RSI divergence, an RSI close above 73.33 will do just that. If that occurs there is further upside potential for Amazon on the medium-term time frame

If 167.50 is broken Amazon could move to test its all-time highs at around 188.65.

To demolish the bullish scenario a close below 140 is needed

Apple seems struggling at maintaining upside momentum. Three attempts at closing above all-time highs 198.23 has so far failed. A Doji Evening like pattern has formed indicating top and reversal. (Ideally the candle formed Friday last week should have been a full bearish red candle)
RSI divergence is supporting the view of a trend exhaustion

To regain momentum and cancel RSI divergence a share price close above 199.62 is needed and followed by an RSI close above its horizontal dashed line at 73.13.

Weekly chart RSI is showing massive divergence indicating the current uptrend is exhausting.

A close above 199.62 could fuel a rally to around 210 level
A close below 187.45 is likely to resulting in a bearish to establishing

Meta Platforms closed higher above 342.92 confirming the bullish trend.
RSI closed back above 60 threshold adding to the bullish picture. A test of resistance at around 353.65 and the 1.382 projection of the latest correction at 354.10 seems quite likely.

A close above 353.65 is paving the way to all-time highs at around 384.33. If the weekly RSI is closing above its falling trendline it would be a good indication this bullish scenario will play out
To reverse this scenario a close below 313.65 is needed

Microsoft is in a bit of a limbo. A close low 362.90 could fuel a sell-off down to 350-340.

A close above 378 is likely to resume uptrend. If RSI is closing back above 60 threshold it will confirm that scenario.

A close above 384.30 will further confirm the bullish picture also on medium-term.
Medium-term the uptrend is intact but there is RSI divergence indicating trend exhaustion. If RSI closing above 74.78 the divergence will be cancelled supporting higher Microsoft share prices

Nvidia is likely to confirm bullish trend. A close above 505.48 will do just that. Daily RSI is back above 60 threshold strongly indicating that is the scenario to play out.

If that scenario plays out Nvidia will have broken bullish out of its sideways range – see weekly chart - with potential to 560 - 600.
The RSI divergence on the weekly chart is a bit of a warning signal. However, RSI is above 60 indicating the bullish trend is to resume

A close below 450 will likely establish a bearish trend short-term. A close below 392 will establish a Medium-term bearish trend

Tesla has broken above its upper falling trendline and _RSI is above 60 indicating short-term upside potential to 279.50 resistance level.

Medium-term the trend is still bearish with Tesla testing the upper falling trendline. If the weekly RSI can close back above 60 Tesla is likely to trade higher. A weekly close above 279 will confirm medium-term bullish trend ahs been established.

Strong resistance at around 313.61 could be a hard nut to crack. But a close above 313.61 could fuel a buying towards 385-415

A close below 225.95 will demolish the short-term bullish trend. A close below 219.90 will confirm bearish trend medium-term

 

Author is holding a position in Amazon

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...

Content disclaimer

The information on or via the website is provided to you by Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. (“Saxo Bank”) for educational and information purposes only. The information should not be construed as an offer or recommendation to enter into any transaction or any particular service, nor should the contents be construed as advice of any other kind, for example of a tax or legal nature.

All trading carries risk. Loses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Saxo Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information provided and shall not be responsible for any errors or omissions or for any losses or damages resulting from the use of such information.

The content of this website represents marketing material and is not the result of financial analysis or research. It has therefore has not been prepared in accordance with directives designed to promote the independence of financial/investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of financial/investment research.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-ch/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Switzerland

Contact Saxo

Select region

Switzerland
Switzerland

All trading carries risk. Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a general Risk Warning series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. The KIDs can be accessed within the trading platform. Please note that the full prospectus can be obtained free of charge from Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or the issuer.

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and thus governed by Swiss Law. 

The content of this website represents marketing material and has not been notified or submitted to any supervisory authority.

If you contact Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or visit this website, you acknowledge and agree that any data that you transmit to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., either through this website, by telephone or by any other means of communication (e.g. e-mail), may be collected or recorded and transferred to other Saxo Bank Group companies or third parties in Switzerland or abroad and may be stored or otherwise processed by them or Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. You release Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. from its obligations under Swiss banking and securities dealer secrecies and, to the extent permitted by law, data protection laws as well as other laws and obligations to protect privacy. Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. has implemented appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect data from unauthorized processing and disclosure and applies appropriate safeguards to guarantee adequate protection of such data.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.