FX 101: Using FX for portfolio diversification

FX 101: Using FX for portfolio diversification

Forex 4 minutes to read
Charu Chanana

Chief Investment Strategist

Summary:  Diversification is the most important investment strategy. While foreign exchange (FX) is often underutilized for diversification, it can enhance portfolio stability and risk-weighted returns. FX can aid diversification by reducing over-exposure to home currency, managing liabilities in foreign currencies, generating passive income, or hedging against currency risk in foreign-denominated assets. Currency ETFs provide accessible and cost-effective ways for investors to engage in FX markets, trading currencies to diversify portfolios efficiently.


Diversification is the only free lunch in investing, and it is the process of spreading your investments across asset classes, sectors, countries and industries to lower your portfolio risk. The goal of diversification is to minimize the impact of any single investment's poor performance on the overall portfolio.

However, the use of FX to add diversification to portfolios has been under-acknowledged, given the high volatility and complexity in trading FX. Despite these challenges, FX can still play a key role in portfolio diversification. That said, it is crucial to note that trading in FX markets comes with significant risks. These include potential high volatility, geopolitical factors influencing currency fluctuations, and leverage risks. For example, adverse movements in exchange rates could lead to substantial losses, especially in times of economic uncertainty such as persistently high inflation.

Below are the ways in which FX can add diversification to your portfolio.

Currency Diversification

Most investors are over-exposed to their home currency given that they may hold property and other assets in their country of residence.

Investors also may have specific needs relating to future exposure to currencies due to potential liabilities or planned expenditures, such as repayment of a foreign currency loan or to send your children to foreign universities. To avoid an asset-liability mismatch, investors need to consider currency diversification.

Hedging

If your portfolio consists of assets denominated in foreign currencies, then the performance of those currencies will impact the return of your investment. This can either enhance or diminish your actual investment returns.

If an investor holds foreign assets denominated in a currency expected to depreciate, they can use FX instruments such as forward contracts or options to hedge against potential losses due to currency fluctuations. More such strategies to hedge FX exposure in Japanese equities were discussed in this article.

Geographical Diversification

FX trading allows investors to gain exposure to economies and markets around the world. By investing in currencies from different countries, investors can diversify their geographic risk. This is particularly important when specific regions or countries experience economic downturns or geopolitical instability.

For instance, US-China trade tensions can negatively impact the Chinese yuan, and the weakness can also filter through to the currencies of its main trading partners such as Australian dollar or the Euro.

Also, escalation in geopolitical risks results in a rush into safe-havens such as Japanese yen or Swiss franc. Emerging market currencies are generally more susceptible to geopolitical risks due to less stable political environments and economic vulnerabilities.

Enhancing Returns

Active currency trading strategies can be employed to potentially enhance returns or generate a passive income, which provides an offset for any declines in portfolio values. This involves speculating on currency movements based on factors such as interest rate differentials, economic indicators, and geopolitical events. However, it's important to note that currency trading carries its own risks and requires a deep understanding of the FX market.

Commodity Exposure

Some currencies are closely tied to commodity prices. For instance, the Australian dollar is often influenced by movements in commodity prices, particularly those of metals such as gold and iron ore. Investing in currencies with strong correlations to specific commodities can provide indirect exposure to those commodities, thus diversifying the portfolio.

Using Currency ETFs

Experienced traders can participate in the forex market by trading currency pairs in spot, futures, or options markets. At the same time, investors can leverage currency ETFs for easier access to international currency markets, allowing them to speculate on currency movements, enhance yields, hedge risks, and diversify their portfolios.

Currency ETFs are a simple and low-cost way to trade currencies during normal trading hours. They are designed to track the performance of a single currency in the foreign exchange market against the US dollar or a basket of currencies.

For instance, the Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust ETF (FXY) tracks the price of Japanese yen (JPY). If you think that the Japanese yen is set to rise against the US dollar, you may want to purchase this ETF, while a short sell on the ETF can be placed if you think the Japanese currency is set to fall. More such examples are listed below.

Table: The following table provides a list of selected currencies and the corresponding Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) that investors may consider for FX diversification. Please note that this table is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation for any specific ETF. Individual circumstances and risk profiles should be carefully assessed before investing.

Source: Saxo

Clarification of Risks and Considerations

In addition to the potential rewards, FX trading presents several challenges. High volatility can create significant swings in portfolio performance, and there’s always the risk that diversification via FX may not produce the desired effect under certain market conditions. It’s vital to consider how FX exposure interacts with other asset classes, and the inherent risk that currencies may not always move in a predictable manner.

While the benefits of FX diversification are worth exploring, investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and be aware that FX markets can be complex, with multiple factors influencing price movements. Leverage, which is commonly used in FX trading, can amplify both gains and losses, increasing the risk factor. Additionally, the global economic environment, especially with inflationary pressures, may heighten these risks.

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