The best forex hedging strategies

The best forex hedging strategies

Trading Strategies
Saxo Be Invested

Saxo Group

Forex trading carries a certain amount of risk. Even if you study the market, conduct your own technical analysis and enter the market at what you believe is the optimal time, nothing is guaranteed. However, thanks to something known as forex hedging, you can protect trades against a certain amount of risk. To explain what this means, here’s our beginner's guide to forex hedging strategies. 

What is hedging? 

Hedging is where you hold two positions simultaneously in an effort to reduce your losses. The positions you hold have to contrast in a certain way. For example, if you hold a short on a currency pair (i.e. you think its value will decrease), you can open a long position (i.e. you think it will increase in value) as a hedge. 

So, in this example, you stand to make money if the short position succeeds, or if the long position succeeds. Thus, you’ve successfully hedged one position against another to offset any potential losses. 

Now, what’s important to state from the outset is that hedging won’t protect you from all losses. This means you won’t be able to protect 100% of your investment in either direction. However, what you can do is protect against certain outcomes. 

Therefore, you shouldn’t see hedging in forex as a way of guaranteeing a profit or removing all risk. It can reduce certain potential risks in some situations, but it can’t turn forex trading into a risk-free activity. Risk is an inherent part of trading in all of its forms. Therefore, it’s impossible to eliminate it with hedging or any other trading strategy. 

How do you hedge in forex? 

Hedging in forex is mainly used as a risk-management tool that can help mitigate short-term market movements. There are ways to hedge when you’re trading forex. However, this strategy can be broadly broken down in two ways: 

Perfect hedge 

A perfect hedge is where you hold a short and long position on the same currency pair. So, let’s say you hold a long position on USD/EUR. This means you believe the value of this currency pair will increase and, therefore, you’re willing to hold it for an extended period. 

However, let’s say there are some political events in America that make you wonder if there may be some volatility in the short or medium term. This volatility could essentially cause the value of USD/EUR to drop, so, instead of closing your long position, you open a short position. This means you’re simultaneously buying and selling the same currency pair. 

As such, you hold a correct position if the value of USD/EUR increases or decreases. That makes it a perfect hedge because you can’t lose either way.  

However, that doesn’t make this a risk-free strategy because by eliminating the chance you’ll lose money, you’re also eliminating your chance of making a profit. This is because the money you make from one position is cancelled out by the money you lose from the opposing position. Therefore, it’s not a risk-free strategy.  

Forex traders who want to maintain a long position but protect themselves against short-term volatility will only use a perfect hedge for a certain period. Once the market appears to be moving into a favourable position, traders will close their short positions. 

Imperfect hedge 

An imperfect hedge in forex trading is where you use put options contracts to offset an existing position. This may not always be possible via your trading platform, but forex options are available at Saxo Bank. 

Forex options are derivatives based on underlying currency pairs. There are two main types of forex options: vanilla and SPOT (single payment option trading). These are options that give investors the right to buy (a call option) or sell (put option) a particular currency at a pre-set price at an execution date, as defined by the contract. 

An important caveat with options contracts is that they give investors the right to buy or sell, but there is no obligation to exercise that right. You have the “option” to fulfil the contract or not. So, by taking out a vanilla option, an investor can say how much of a particular currency pair they want to buy/sell, the price they want to pay and on the date they want to fulfil their order. 

This order is placed via your account. The buy/seller then comes back with a quote premium. Assuming the investor accepts, the options contract is started. They hold a buy/sell position on a currency pair without actually owning the underlying asset. 

Forex options example 

So, let’s say you hold a long position on JPY/USD. This means you own the underlying asset and you’re holding it because you believe its value will increase. You want to protect against a certain amount of loss in the short-term by using forex options. You, therefore, take out a put option on JPY/USD. If the value of JPY/USD falls, you’ll make money on your put option. If it increases, you’ll lose money on the put option but make a profit on your long position. 

Forex options and imperfect hedging summary 

We know this is complicated, so here’s a summary of imperfect hedging using forex options: 

  • Forex options are virtual contracts that give you the right to buy or sell a currency pair at a later date. You don’t have to fulfil this contract, but you’re purchasing the right to make your desired move in the future. 
  • Options contracts can buy (call option) or sell (put option). To buy means you’re taking a long position. To sell means you’re taking a short position. 
  • Options contracts are derivatives, which means you’re not purchasing the underlying asset which, in this case, are currency pairs. Instead, you’re paying for the right to make a move (buy or sell) a currency pair. 
  • You can have an options contract while holding another position. 
  • These hedges are known as imperfect because you won’t cancel out 100% of your losses on either side. Still, forex traders use this strategy because it gives you scope to limit your losses while still making a profit, depending on the investments you make. 

Forex Hedging Strategies 

So, the two main forex hedging strategies are perfect and imperfect. To quickly recap, these two strategies are: 

Perfect hedging 

Also known as direct hedging, this strategy requires you to open long and short positions on the same currency pair. The net profit is zero because your losses will cancel out your profits. However, when used as a short-term strategy, it can be a way to protect long positions during times of volatility. 

*Perfect hedging isn’t always available, so check that it’s possible before opening a position. 

Imperfect hedging 

This strategy requires you to hold a position on a currency pair. You then take out an options contract in the opposite direction. This strategy won’t cancel out all of your profits, but the upside is that it leaves you with room to make a profit (although less than you’d make with a single position). 

The final forex hedging strategy you can try is by taking out positions on multiple currency pairs. The aim here is to hold two currency pairs that are closely linked. For example, you can hold a long position on EUR/USD and a short position on GBP/USD. 

With this forex hedging strategy, you’re taking two opposing positions. Even though these positions aren’t on the same currency pair, they both include USD. Therefore, what you’re doing in this scenario is mitigating the risk of holding USD. So, if something happens in the US and you feel it will hurt the value of the USD, you could have two positions on the USD using these two currency pairs. 

The risks of forex hedging 

Hedging doesn’t eliminate all risk and, in situations where it does, your net profit will be zero. This means you can’t use forex hedging to guarantee a profit. Even in situations where you try your best to eliminate your risk and end with a net profit of zero, you may have to pay trading fees, and in that case you’d actually lose money with a perfect hedge. 

Forex hedging strategies can also be difficult to understand and implement, particularly if you’re a novice trader. This disadvantage becomes even more pronounced when you get into forex options. Finally, risk and rewards are closely correlated with each other. So, if you make money on one position, you’ll lose just as much on the other. 

That makes hedging a useful tool in the short-term but not as effective in the long-term. For long-term investing may make more profit holding a successful single position, compared to a successful hedged position. These are all important considerations.  

Forex hedging strategies are useful and they can help you protect long positions during times of short-term volatility. However, forex hedging shouldn’t be seen as an easy way to make guaranteed profits and eliminate all of your risk in the long-term.  

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...
  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperfo...
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynami...
  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the "two-lane economy," European equities, energy commodities, and the impact of US fiscal p...
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Quarterly Outlook

    Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain ...
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities i...

Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Switzerland

Contact Saxo

Select region

Switzerland
Switzerland

All trading carries risk. Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a general Risk Warning series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. The KIDs can be accessed within the trading platform. Please note that the full prospectus can be obtained free of charge from Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or the issuer.

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and thus governed by Swiss Law. 

The content of this website represents marketing material and has not been notified or submitted to any supervisory authority.

If you contact Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or visit this website, you acknowledge and agree that any data that you transmit to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., either through this website, by telephone or by any other means of communication (e.g. e-mail), may be collected or recorded and transferred to other Saxo Bank Group companies or third parties in Switzerland or abroad and may be stored or otherwise processed by them or Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. You release Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. from its obligations under Swiss banking and securities dealer secrecies and, to the extent permitted by law, data protection laws as well as other laws and obligations to protect privacy. Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. has implemented appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect data from unauthorized processing and disclosure and applies appropriate safeguards to guarantee adequate protection of such data.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.