Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank Group
Summary: S&P 500/US500 bouncing from key support but is likely to test it again.
Nasdaq 100/USNAS100 bounce could be short-lived. Observe key levels
S&P 500 bounced yesterday from the 4,455 support but could have another go at today Tuesday. The Future/US500 cfd is indicating just that pre-market.
If closing below a sell-off below the 4,400 is likely . Strong support at around 4,340.
For S&P500 to resume uptrend a close above 4,528 is needed.
RSI is still above 40 threshold i.e., still showing positive sentiment but if S&P 500 cis closing lower the indicator is likely to drop to close below 40 i.e., showing negative sentiment with likely lower index levels to follow.
US500 cfd is pre-market once again testing the 4,455 support. A close below could fuel a sell-off down to support at around 4,384.
For US500 to resume uptrend a close above 4,541 is needed
Nasdaq 100 is in a downtrend despite a strong end to the session yesterday. A close above 15,367 will put the Index in neutral position .
Bulls can find comfort in RSI still showing positive sentiment since it has not yet closed below 40 threshold and if S&P 500 is closing above 15,524 uptrend will resume.
USNAS100 cfd in downtrend with support at around 14,706. To reverse the down trend a close above 15,526 is needed.
Support at 14,706 and 14,250.
Disclaimer
The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.
Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-gb/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)