Crypto Update: New futures and a delayed hard fork

Crypto Update: New futures and a delayed hard fork

Cryptocurrencies 5 minutes to read
Jacob Pouncey

Cryptocurrency analyst, Saxo Bank

Summary:  New Bitcoin futures, a delayed Ethereum hard fork, and the long-awaited BTC ETF.


This week the entire crypto market cap rose by 0.2 % to hover around$210 billion. Ethereum fell by 1.3 %, and Bitcoin fell 0.2 % against the dollar. The entire crypto market cap seems to be unfazed by the stable coin instability of the previous week. Bitcoin daily volatility over the last 30 days has fallen to its lowest levels year-to-date. 

Ethereum delays hardfork

This past Friday, Ethereum developers decided to postpone the latest upgrade until early next year. The upgrade was set to take place within the next month, but a bug related to the compatibility of the two main implementations caused the test net to freeze. The update, when released, would reduce the block reward by a third, therefore reducing new supply on the Ethereum network. However, until then the current inflation rate and consensus mechanism remains unabated.

New Bitcoin futures to launch in December

The new platform, Bakkt, which is designed to physically settle daily Bitcoin futures, announced that it will begin clearing futures on December 12. These futures launch about a year after the first non-physically settled futures products were launched for Bitcoin. This daily contract will service a clientele and market that may find the other monthly futures less attractive. It will increase demand for circulating Bitcoins, possibly helping to support price. However, this will also give Bitcoin bears another avenue to short.

Bitcoin ETF coming soon

The latest Commissioner to the US Securities and Exchange Commission, Elad Roisman, has been briefed on the VanEck and SolidX Bitcoin ETF, according to documents from earlier this month. In a previous update we mentioned that the SEC now more than ever has an increased chance of approving the ETF due to the new members on the commission. The presentation from the meeting addresses several of the concerns cited by the commission such as a regulated derivatives market of significant size. Additionally, the arrival of the Bakkt futures exchange in December will increase the size of the derivatives market for BTC and possibly increase the chances of ETF approval soon. 

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...
  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperfo...
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynami...
  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the "two-lane economy," European equities, energy commodities, and the impact of US fiscal p...
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Quarterly Outlook

    Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain ...
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities i...


Business Hills Park – Building 4,
4th Floor, office 401, Dubai Hills Estate, P.O. Box 33641, Dubai, UAE

Contact Saxo

Select region

UAE
UAE

Trade responsibly
All trading carries risk. Read more. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more

Saxo Bank A/S is licensed by the Danish Financial Supervisory Authority and operates in the UAE under a representative office license issued by the Central bank of the UAE.

The content and material made available on this website and the linked sites are provided by Saxo Bank A/S. It is the sole responsibility of the recipient to ascertain the terms of and comply with any local laws or regulation to which they are subject.

The UAE Representative Office of Saxo Bank A/S markets the Saxo Bank A/S trading platform and the products offered by Saxo Bank A/S.