Key Stories from the past week: Déjà vu Monday

Key Stories from the past week: Déjà vu Monday

Macro
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For the second Monday in a row, markets came out of the weekend with a cautious tone. This time as the reality of Trump’s trade-war was finally appreciated. Oil wiped out 2025 gains as tariffs and demand weighed on price. Once again it is Nvidia with the highest number of Saxo clients trading the name as it regained a lot of last week’s stock price drop. Novo Nordisk, Microsoft, Tesla and Palantir also high in the client activity rankings. The yen gained, boosted by consumption and wage data. While the BoE produced a dovish cut to the UK’s policy rate. More below on this week’s key stories. 


Trade wars
Vix jumped, equity benchmarks sold off and the greenback rallied as Trump’s trade war became reality. Markets were relieved as US tariffs on Canada and Mexico were postponed, but the risk of international trade wars remain, Europe may be next.
Trump's Tariff Threats: How Bad Could This Get for Europe

Palantir’s AI Boom
Palantir (PLTR:xnas) is up 35% on the week (as of Thurs close) after reporting strong Q4 earnings and increased revenue forecast. AI is at the heart of the firm’s momentum pushing the company’s valuation near 200x forward earnings.
Palantir: Strong Earnings, Soaring Stock, and What Comes Next

XAU - All the way up
New all-time highs for gold this week on concerns the trade wars will impede growth, raise debt levels, and increase inflation, all while boosting demand for safe haven assets.
Broad Strength Drives Commodities Sector to 26-month High

Cloud takes backseat
A pre-earnings snipe tested investor confidence as China’s regulators probed Alphabet for suspected antitrust violations. This was followed by disappointing results due to slowing cloud growth and surging AI spending.
Alphabet's Cloud Stumbles and AI Ambitions


Big tech earnings might be done but there are still plenty of important results to come next week. To name a few; McDonalds on Monday, Coca-Cola and Shopify on Tuesday, Cisco Systems on Wednesday, and Unilever on Thursday. In economic data we have China PPI & CPI (Sun), US CPI (Wed), UK GDP (Thurs), EU GDP (Fri). There are also various central banks speakers including Powell’s semi-annual monetary policy testimony to the Senate.

Quarterly Outlook

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  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...

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