Tech Titans’ Earnings: Microsoft, Tesla & Meta - A Mixed Bag for Investors with AI Growth, Slowing Demand, and Investor Scrutiny
Jacob Falkencrone
Chief Investment Strategist, Europe
Key points:
- AI is driving tech forward, but execution risks are growing: Microsoft, Tesla, and Meta are all making massive AI investments, but investors are now demanding real results. Microsoft faces cloud scaling issues, Tesla must prove self-driving works, and Meta needs to turn AI hype into profits.
- Market optimism remains, but scrutiny is rising: Despite mixed earnings, Tesla and Meta saw stock gains as investors focused on long-term AI potential, while Microsoft dropped due to near-term cloud constraints. Investors are still buying into AI, but patience is wearing thin.
- 2025 will be a test of delivery: These companies have laid out bold AI roadmaps, but now they must execute. Microsoft needs to expand cloud capacity fast, Tesla must deliver on self-driving tech, and Meta must balance AI spending with monetization.
The latest earnings reports from Microsoft, Tesla, and Meta highlight a tech sector in flux—balancing AI-driven growth, competitive pressures, and shifting investor sentiment. While AI remains the unifying theme across all three companies, each is facing distinct challenges: Microsoft is struggling to scale its cloud business, Tesla is grappling with slowing vehicle demand, and Meta is pouring billions into AI despite regulatory and cost concerns.
Here’s what investors need to know.
Microsoft: Strong AI Growth, But Cloud Challenges Persist
Key Results:
- Revenue: USD 69.6 billion (+12% YoY), beating expectations.
- Earnings Per Share: USD 3.23, beating expectations.
- Net Income: USD 24.1 billion (+10% YoY), beating expectations.
- Azure Growth:31%, slightly below expectations, as cloud demand faced capacity constraints.
- AI Business: AI-related cloud services grew 157% YoY, now contributing USD 13 billion annually.
Challenges & Outlook:
Microsoft’s AI momentum is undeniable, but its biggest issue is execution. Demand for its AI-powered Azure services is growing faster than it can build data centres, causing a bottleneck. CEO Satya Nadella reassured investors that Microsoft is working aggressively to expand cloud capacity, with USD 80 billion earmarked for AI infrastructure this fiscal year. However, competition is intensifying—Chinese AI startup DeepSeek has released an open-source AI model at a fraction of the cost of Western alternatives, forcing Microsoft to acknowledge potential pricing pressures.
Despite its long-term growth story, Microsoft shares fell nearly 5% in the post-market after earnings, as investors questioned whether the company could scale quickly enough to justify its massive AI investments.
Investor Takeaway: Microsoft remains a leader in AI, but near-term cloud capacity issues could weigh on growth. Investors should watch for accelerating AI revenue and improvements in cloud infrastructure buildout.
Tesla: Profit Miss, But Musk’s Bold Promises Keep Hype Alive
Key Results:
- Revenue: USD 25.7 billion (+2% YoY), missing expectations.
- Earnings Per Share: USD 0.73, missing expectations.
- Margins: Declined to 16.3%, hurt by price cuts and increased costs.
- Vehicle Deliveries:495,570 in Q4, marking the first annual decline in over a decade.
Challenges & Outlook:
Tesla is feeling the heat from rising EV competition, especially from lower-cost Chinese rivals. Price cuts helped maintain sales volume but eroded profitability. Yet, Elon Musk painted an ambitious future, promising an “epic” period of growth driven by AI, robotaxis, and humanoid robots. Tesla plans to launch an autonomous ride-hailing service in Austin by mid-2025, followed by a rollout in other cities. Additionally, Musk confirmed that Tesla’s long-awaited affordable EV model remains on track for production in early 2025.
Despite the earnings miss, Tesla’s stock climbed 4% in after-hours trading, showing that investors are still willing to buy into Musk’s long-term vision.
Investor Takeaway: Tesla’s fundamentals are weakening, but Musk’s grand AI and self-driving promises continue to drive enthusiasm. Investors should watch whether autonomous driving tech progresses on schedule and whether Tesla’s new EV model can boost sales.
Meta: AI-Fuelled Growth, But at What Cost?
Key Results:
- Revenue: USD 48.4 billion (+21% YoY), beating expectations.
- Earnings Per Share: USD 8.02, beating expectations.
- Net Income: USD 20.8 billion (+50% YoY), reflecting strong ad sales.
- Ad Business: AI-powered ad targeting helped drive a 14% increase in ad prices.
- Q1 2025 Revenue Forecast:USD 39.5 billion to USD 41.8 billion, missing analyst estimates.
Challenges & Outlook:
CEO Mark Zuckerberg remains all-in on AI, predicting that Meta’s AI assistant will reach over 1 billion users in 2025. However, Meta’s biggest concern is its spending spree—with capital expenditures for 2025 set at USD 60-65 billion. Some analysts worry that Meta is burning too much cash on AI before fully monetizing it.
Zuckerberg assured investors that AI-powered ad targeting is already delivering value but admitted that other AI monetization efforts—such as subscriptions or sponsored AI responses—are still far from generating revenue.
Meta is also facing rising regulatory scrutiny in Europe over its ad-free subscription model, which could impact future revenue. Additionally, the company’s Reality Labs division, responsible for its metaverse ambitions, continues to burn cash without clear signs of profitability.
Meta’s stock initially dipped on weak guidance but later recovered by 4.5%, as investors focused on Zuckerberg’s AI vision and the company’s continued ad revenue strength.
Investor Takeaway: Meta is betting heavily on AI, but profitability concerns remain. Investors should watch for improvements in AI-driven revenue streams and cost control in 2025.
What Investors Should Watch Next
Microsoft, Tesla, and Meta are all leading the AI transformation, but they are at different stages of the journey—and their challenges reflect that.
For Microsoft, the biggest question is whether it can scale its cloud capacity quickly enough to meet soaring AI demand. The company is already spending billions to expand infrastructure, but any further delays in cloud capacity could continue to limit Azure’s growth and hurt investor confidence.
For Tesla, much depends on whether Musk can deliver on his self-driving ambitions. Autonomous vehicles and ride-hailing services could be game-changers, but delays or regulatory pushback could derail this vision. Additionally, competition in the EV market is heating up, and Tesla needs to find a way to sustain sales while maintaining profitability.
For Meta, the challenge is balancing high AI investments with actual revenue generation. AI-driven ad targeting has already boosted Meta’s business, but other AI projects—such as AI-powered assistants and AI-generated content—still need to prove they can deliver meaningful returns. Investors should watch whether Meta can control costs while still executing on its AI strategy.
Bottom Line: Is the AI Bet Paying Off?
The enthusiasm around AI is still driving tech stocks, but investors are now demanding proof of execution. Microsoft is betting on AI at an unprecedented scale, but its cloud infrastructure needs to keep up with demand. Tesla is leaning on future promises, with AI-driven self-driving technology being the key to its long-term success. Meta has the strongest near-term AI success, but its spending levels remain a major concern.
Ultimately, all three companies remain AI leaders, but they must now deliver tangible results to justify their valuations. Investors should stay optimistic about AI’s long-term potential but remain cautious about execution risks in the short term.