Equities

From highs to lows: Why the market dip is no reason for long-term investors to panic

Jacob Falkencrone

Global Head of Investment Strategy

Key points:

  • Stay disciplined: Despite recent volatility, long-term investors should avoid panic and stick to their investment strategy, as history shows markets often recover from downturns.
  • Look beyond the noise: Market pullbacks are normal. Focus on long-term goals, maintain diversification, and consider the current market dip as a potential opportunity to invest in quality assets at lower prices.
  • Embrace the boring: Defensive sectors like consumer staples and utilities can provide stability during market turbulence, proving that "boring" can be the best strategy in uncertain times.

Just a few weeks ago, on February 19th, 2025, the stock market was celebrating fresh all-time highs. Fast forward to today, and the sentiment couldn’t be more different.

The S&P 500 has now dropped around 9% from its peak, with the latest sell-off sending the index down 2.7% on Monday alone. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fared even worse, sliding 4%, while big names like Tesla, Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon saw significant losses.

At the heart of this rapid shift in market mood are growing fears of a US recession. President Donald Trump’s recent comments about the potential for an economic downturn, combined with his administration’s unpredictable tariff strategy, have left investors jittery. This kind of uncertainty often leads to sharp market reactions as investors struggle to make sense of the new risks on the horizon.

"When markets get rough, remember: Boring can be better than thrilling. Defensive plays and steady hands win the long game."

Looking past the noise

While the current market environment might feel unsettling, it's important for long-term investors to focus on the bigger picture. History shows that market volatility is not only normal but expected. An in-depth analysis of the S&P 500’s performance over the past 60 years reveals that, despite average annual drawdowns of 14.4%, the market has delivered an average annual return of 8.7%.

More than half of the years experienced drawdowns exceeding 10%, yet nearly 75% of all years ended in positive territory. These figures reinforce a critical lesson: short-term market movements are often just noise. Investors who focus too much on daily market swings risk making decisions based on emotion rather than strategy. The current situation is a prime example of why staying disciplined and maintaining a long-term perspective is essential for investment success.

"Volatility is a normal part of the investment journey. Those who stay disciplined often find smoother waters ahead."

Why "boring" can be better than "thrilling"

When markets are in turmoil, there is a natural temptation to chase quick gains or react hastily to negative news. However, history suggests that the best approach during market downturns is to focus on the "boring" investments—those in sectors like consumer staples and utilities. These areas of the market tend to perform relatively well during economic slowdowns because they offer products and services that remain in demand regardless of market conditions.

For retail investors, now might be a good time to review their portfolios and ensure they are diversified across different asset classes and sectors. Having a balanced mix of investments not only helps manage risk but also positions portfolios to benefit from eventual market recoveries.

How should investors behave?

  1. Stay invested: The instinct to sell during downturns is natural, but it often leads to locking in losses. Long-term investors benefit from riding out market storms and focusing on their financial goals.

  2. Rebalance your portfolio: Market volatility can shift the balance of your investments. Regularly reviewing and adjusting your portfolio can help maintain your intended risk profile.

  3. Embrace diversification: During uncertain times, diversification is your best friend. Defensive investments, such as dividend-paying stocks or sectors like consumer staples, can add stability.

  4. Avoid knee-jerk reactions: Making investment decisions based on short-term market movements rarely pays off. Instead, focus on your long-term plan and avoid getting caught up in the market’s daily drama.

  5. Look for opportunities: While the market is down 9% from its highs, this could be an opportunity to buy quality assets at lower prices. If your investment strategy involves regular contributions, continue to invest consistently.

The shift from record highs in February to the current market pullback is a reminder of how quickly sentiment can change. However, history and analysis show that volatility is part of investing. By focusing on what you can control, avoiding the noise, and maintaining a long-term perspective, you increase your chances of achieving strong returns over time. Markets may be down, but for disciplined investors, this could be a time to build a stronger portfolio for the future.

 

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...

Content disclaimer

The information on or via the website is provided to you by Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. (“Saxo Bank”) for educational and information purposes only. The information should not be construed as an offer or recommendation to enter into any transaction or any particular service, nor should the contents be construed as advice of any other kind, for example of a tax or legal nature.

All trading carries risk. Loses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Saxo Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information provided and shall not be responsible for any errors or omissions or for any losses or damages resulting from the use of such information.

The content of this website represents marketing material and is not the result of financial analysis or research. It has therefore has not been prepared in accordance with directives designed to promote the independence of financial/investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of financial/investment research.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-ch/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Switzerland

Contact Saxo

Select region

Switzerland
Switzerland

All trading carries risk. Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a general Risk Warning series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. The KIDs can be accessed within the trading platform. Please note that the full prospectus can be obtained free of charge from Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or the issuer.

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and thus governed by Swiss Law. 

The content of this website represents marketing material and has not been notified or submitted to any supervisory authority.

If you contact Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or visit this website, you acknowledge and agree that any data that you transmit to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., either through this website, by telephone or by any other means of communication (e.g. e-mail), may be collected or recorded and transferred to other Saxo Bank Group companies or third parties in Switzerland or abroad and may be stored or otherwise processed by them or Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. You release Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. from its obligations under Swiss banking and securities dealer secrecies and, to the extent permitted by law, data protection laws as well as other laws and obligations to protect privacy. Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. has implemented appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect data from unauthorized processing and disclosure and applies appropriate safeguards to guarantee adequate protection of such data.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.