Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
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Technical Update - Can USDJPY rebound to 149, or will the pair resume downtrend? See the technichal picture here
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
USDJPY (together with the other JPY pairs) has rebounded somewhat from the massive sell-off that occurred in July.
However, the rebound could continue further, possibly to the 0.382 retracement and resistance around 149.40. That level could be as far as the rebound goes, though.
RSI is showing negative sentiment, and there has been no divergence at the sell-off, indicating USDJPY could resume its downtrend and make a new low below 141.65.
If USDJPY takes out today’s low at around 146.39, there is a great likelihood that USDJPY will resume its downtrend.
A daily close above 149.45 is likely to extend the rebound to around the 200 daily moving average and resistance at around 151.85.
However, the rebound could continue further, possibly to the 0.382 retracement and resistance around 149.40. That level could be as far as the rebound goes, though.
RSI is showing negative sentiment, and there has been no divergence at the sell-off, indicating USDJPY could resume its downtrend and make a new low below 141.65.
If USDJPY takes out today’s low at around 146.39, there is a great likelihood that USDJPY will resume its downtrend.
A daily close above 149.45 is likely to extend the rebound to around the 200 daily moving average and resistance at around 151.85.
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