Quarterly Outlook
Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
Summary: Meta Platforms Inc. experienced a significant drop in value after the company announced plans to aggressively increase spending on AI. The stock price plunged by 11% and closed at $441.38 last Thursday, 25th April. Investors holding Meta for long-term investment may consider selling covered call options to generate premiums while the market gyrations on the AI spending plan plays out in the short term.
What is happening?
Tech investors were on edge after Meta released its Q1 earnings report with disappointing outlook on Wednesday after the markets closed. Tech sentiment rebounded slightly on Thursday when both Microsoft and Alphabet reported strong earnings. However, the fear in tech world persists as more earnings reports are coming ahead, particularly from Nvidia.
Meta exceeded expectations with their strong first-quarter results. The company’s net profit in Q1 rose by $12.4 billion as the total revenue, mainly from advertising ads, saw a remarkable 27% increase to $36.5 billion. Investors retreated after the social media giant provided a conservative guidance for the upcoming quarter with signs of rising expenditure, which overshadowed the optimism surrounding AI.
CEO Mark Zuckerberg projected that investments in AI will bring Meta’s full year 2024 capital expenditure to be in the range of $35 to $40 billion, up from the previous range of $30 to $37 billion. He emphasised the need for investors’ patience as the company made its move into AI. According to Zuckerberg, “building a leading AI will be a larger undertaking than the other experiences we’ve added to our apps, and this is likely going to take several years”. However, Meta's caution about taking several years for the AI investment to yield significant returns raised concerns about the sustainability of AI spending. A similar situation occurred in October 2022 when the company disclosed investments in the Metaverse and Virtual Reality, leading to a 25% decrease in share price.
What can you do?
For investors holding Meta for long-term investment and believe in upside potential of the stock from its AI investments, may consider selling covered call options on Meta. This strategy enables investors to earn premiums from the call options, providing additional income while they wait for Meta’s share price to reach their desired target.
Steps:
When comparing to options with longer maturity, you can observe how this alters the premium you receive and the distance over which you will be able to set the strike.
Annualised yield of Meta options with different Strike and Expiry
Advantages of covered calls
Risks of trading covered calls
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This article may or may not have been enriched with the support of advanced AI technology, including OpenAI's ChatGPT and/or other similar platforms. The initial setup, research and final proofing are done by the author.