Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
USDJPY experienced another highly volatile day yesterday, spiking down to touch 153.00, just a few pips from the 0.786 retracement at 152.83.
Closing below the lower rising trendline indicates that there could be further downside for USDJPY.
However, the RSI still shows positive sentiment with no divergence, strongly suggesting that the JPY cross is likely to push back to Monday's peak levels.
If the RSI closes back above the 60 threshold, the bullish trend is likely to unfold withshort-term upside potential to at least 158.70.
For a medium-to longer-term technical view, refer to the last Technical Update on USDJPY.
Conversely, if USDJPY breaks below 152.80, expect another sell-off down to between 151.75 and 150.80.