Quarterly Outlook
Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
Summary: Today, we look at the market reaction to strong US labor market data yesterday, which triggered higher yields as the market was forced to mark the Fed policy rate higher for longer this year. Equities dropped and the US dollar surged, but the main even awaits today in the form of the US official jobs and average hourly earnings data as well as the December ISM Services is also up later today. On that note, heavy interest in very short-dated options could mean huge volatility swings on big data surprises today. Elsewhere, all things China-related are also on the move, including the yuan as every day brings new signs of official support for the economy. A look at earnings next week, metals, & more also on today's pod, which features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Listen to today’s podcast - slides are available via the link.
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