Quarterly Outlook
Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
Summary: 'Today we wrap up Friday's positive action in the equity market as we continue to note that US treasuries may be a barometer for excess liquidity, not the market's assessment of inflation risks or the growth outlook. In FX, it was curious to see a sharp USD move higher when nothing else was afoot, perhaps a nod of the head at whether the FOMC is set for a talking up an eventual taper move and the unavoidable forecasts adjustements at Wednesday's meeting. Elsewhere, energy is picking up more investor focus than metals and grains, a couple of big and interesting names are reporting earnings this week despite the thin calendar, and in EM, Turkey is a major focus this week. On today's pod were Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Listen to today’s podcast and have a look at today’s slide deck.
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