Quarterly Outlook
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John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
Investment and Options Strategist
Summary: Nvidia’s latest earnings are out, and while the stock hasn’t moved dramatically, investors still have an opportunity to generate additional income. By using a simple options strategy, shareholders can enhance their returns without selling their stock - let’s explore how it works.
Nvidia (NVDA:xnas) has just released its quarterly earnings, and while the results beat estimates, Wall Street’s reaction has been lukewarm (see also link at the bottom). The stock remains near its recent highs but has yet to break out decisively. For investors holding Nvidia shares, the question now is whether to sell, hold, or find ways to generate additional returns while maintaining exposure.
Important note: The strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it's crucial to make informed decisions.
A key factor after an earnings release is implied volatility (IV)—a measure of market expectations for future price movements. Nvidia, being a highly influential stock, typically sees elevated IV ahead of earnings. However, once earnings are out, implied volatility tends to drop significantly, causing a decline in option prices.
As of today:
For investors who already own Nvidia shares and believe the stock will experience moderate price swings over the next three weeks, a covered strangle strategy can be considered. This strategy involves selling both a call and a put, earning option premiums while keeping the underlying shares.
Structure of the trade:
Since IV tends to fall post-earnings, option prices are lower than pre-earnings levels. However, this strategy uses pre-market closing prices, meaning actual premiums at open will likely be lower. It’s important to factor this in when structuring the trade.
If an investor has a strong directional view on Nvidia, alternative strategies might be more suitable:
For Nvidia shareholders looking to generate extra returns without fully exiting their position, the covered strangle is a viable option in this post-earnings environment. It provides premium income while allowing flexibility in stock price movements. However, investors should carefully assess their risk tolerance and willingness to acquire additional shares or have existing shares called away.
If you’re interested in maximizing the efficiency of your portfolio, exploring strategies like these can provide additional income opportunities in the short term while maintaining long-term investment objectives.
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