Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Trader Strategy
Saxo Group
The choice between index funds and actively managed funds remains an important consideration for investors. Both options can be highly effective, and both hold enormous assets under management (AUMs) in the global market. Each fund type appeals to a different type of investor, with active funds promising returns beyond their benchmark, while passive or index funds aim to replicate it.
On a global scale, active funds still constitute the majority of total AUM. Actively managed funds rely on experienced managers who aim to outperform the market, though this service typically comes with higher costs and significant variability in outcomes across funds.
Index funds are a type of mutual fund or ETF that aim to replicate the performance of a specific market index, such as the S&P 500 or FTSE 100. These funds use a passive management strategy, holding a portfolio of securities that mirrors the composition of the index they track. This approach ensures that returns closely align with the overall market, offering investors broad exposure.
For example, an S&P 500 index fund includes the 500 largest US companies, weighted by market capitalisation. This structure provides simplicity and low costs, as portfolio adjustments are limited to periodic rebalancing. Investors often find this approach appealing for its ability to deliver steady, long-term growth at lower expense ratios.
Index funds are particularly useful for those who prefer cost-effective ways to diversify their portfolios while maintaining returns consistent with the broader market movements.
Actively managed mutual funds rely on professional fund managers who aim to outperform benchmarks through active security selection and trading. These funds differ from index funds by leveraging market research, analysis, and a hands-on approach to adjust portfolios dynamically. Fund managers may focus on undervalued opportunities, specific sectors, or regions with perceived growth potential.
For example, a fund manager might allocate a larger portion of the portfolio to technology stocks during periods of innovation or shift focus to defensive sectors during economic uncertainty. These strategies allow actively managed funds to respond to changing market conditions, offering the potential for returns above the benchmark.
However, actively managed funds often come with higher costs due to management fees and transaction expenses. While some investors value this approach for its ability to navigate complex markets, outcomes can vary widely, and higher costs may impact overall performance.
Actively managed funds appeal to those who prioritise customisation and are comfortable with higher fees in exchange for potential outperformance.
Understanding the distinctions between index funds and actively managed funds is crucial for deciding which ones suit your investment profile. Here are the main ones:
Index funds adopt a passive strategy, focusing on replicating the composition of a market index with minimal trading. This contrasts with actively managed funds, where fund managers make dynamic decisions based on research, aiming to outperform benchmarks.
Index funds typically offer lower expense ratios, often ranging from 0.03% to 0.2%, because of their less intensive management. Actively managed funds, requiring more resources for analysis and trading, incur higher fees, often ranging from 0.5% to 1.5% or more.
Index funds align with their benchmarks, providing predictable returns that mirror the market. Actively managed funds aim for higher returns but face variability depending on market conditions and the fund manager's decisions.
Index funds expose investors to market risk, with performance tied to broader market movements. Actively managed funds, while introducing the potential for higher gains, also carry managerial risk, as outcomes depend on the strategy and timing of the fund manager.
Index funds provide broad diversification by tracking large indices, covering a wide range of sectors and companies. Actively managed funds may focus on specific sectors, themes, or regions, offering targeted exposure but also concentrated risks.
Index funds are straightforward, aligning directly with their benchmark, making them easy to understand and manage. Actively managed funds allow for tailored strategies, appealing to those with specific goals or preferences.
Feature | Index funds | Actively managed funds |
Management style | Passive; tracks a specific market index. | Active; fund managers select and trade securities based on research and market analysis. |
Objective | Replicate benchmark performance. | Outperform benchmark performance. |
Costs | Low expense ratios (0.03%–0.2%). | Higher expense ratios (0.5%–1.5% or more). |
Performance predictability | Predictable returns that align with the index. | Variable returns; success depends on fund manager's decisions. |
Risk profile | Market risk; performance tied to the benchmark's movements. | Managerial risk; outcomes depend on the manager's expertise and timing. |
Diversification | Broad market exposure; reduces company-specific risks. | Can vary; depends on the fund manager's strategy and focus. |
Simplicity | Simple; easy to understand and requires minimal oversight. | More complex; requires analysis of fund manager strategy and past performance. |
A well-balanced portfolio can integrate the strengths of index funds and actively managed funds to achieve both stability and targeted growth. This approach tailors investments to meet specific goals while managing risk effectively.
Index funds provide the broad market exposure necessary for a stable portfolio core. Their low costs and passive nature make them ideal for long-term growth. For instance, allocating a significant portion to a total market or S&P 500 index fund ensures diversification while keeping fees low.
Actively managed funds can complement index funds by targeting sectors, regions, or strategies with higher growth potential. For example, an investor may include an actively managed fund focused on emerging markets or small-cap stocks, aiming to capture returns from less efficient or niche areas of the market.
While index funds reduce company-specific risk through broad diversification, actively managed funds may introduce concentrated exposure. Balancing these ensures that the portfolio benefits from active strategies, without becoming overly reliant on them.
For instance, combining an index fund covering the US stock market with an actively managed fund specialising in technology stocks offers a mix of stability and targeted opportunity.
Periodic rebalancing is crucial to maintaining your desired allocation. Market movements can change the portfolio's weightings, potentially increasing risk or misaligning with your goals.
Rebalancing ensures that your portfolio stays on track, whether that means trimming gains from actively managed funds or increasing index fund holdings after a market downturn.
A balanced portfolio might include:
Make sure you allocate your funds according to your individual investment preferences and risk tolerance.
The cost structure of both index funds and actively managed funds directly impacts their long-term returns. Index funds, with expense ratios as low as 0.03%, provide a cost-efficient way to achieve market returns. Actively managed funds, with fees ranging from 0.5% to 1.5% or more, require higher gross returns to offset these costs.
The compounded effect of fees highlights the importance of cost efficiency, especially for long-term investors. However, actively managed funds can justify their higher costs when they successfully capitalise on market inefficiencies, or generate excess returns (alpha) through well-executed strategies
The cost advantage of index funds often contributes to their tendency to outperform actively managed funds over the long term. Lower fees could allow more of your investment to compound, creating a significant edge in markets where active managers struggle to beat benchmarks consistently.
However, combining both index funds and actively managed funds in your portfolio can offer a steady foundation of broad market exposure alongside targeted opportunities for growth. Focusing on keeping costs low, and ensuring your investments match your goals, may also help you build a strategy designed for long-term success.